{"source":"polymarket","id":"704507","ticker":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732","title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:29.390584Z","end_date":"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2107.8821,"volume_24hr":2054.2821,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.141883850097656,"normalized_volume":11.912911415100098,"liquidity":8501.18149,"open_interest":1192.452099,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"104214","slug":"spr","label":"SPR"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"104212","slug":"crude","label":"crude"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"104213","slug":"petroleum","label":"petroleum"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"300M","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":297.67,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:54:55.128427Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:54:55.128427Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.012440Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732","chart_24h":[53.6,63.46,89.27,229.27,229.27,229.27,229.27,229.27,257.27,257.27,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,303.27000000000004,331.27000000000004,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,435.4821,440.4821,852.1221,872.1221,872.1221,1976.3721,1976.3721,2082.8821,2054.2821,2054.2821],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928822","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-375m-by-may-1-20260714141931928","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?","group_item_title":"300M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.04],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:36:14.334786Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":333.34000000000003,"volume_24hr":333.34000000000003,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":297.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.584659576416016,"normalized_volume":9.475218772888184,"liquidity":2182.7651,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:06:02.334518Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:49:29.578997Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-375m-by-may-1-20260714141931928","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.955,0.95,0.955,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928823","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-350m-by-may-1-20260714141931929","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?","group_item_title":"285M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.645,0.355],"probability":0.645,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:50.041511Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1611.73,"volume_24hr":1611.73,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1611.73,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.70638084411621,"normalized_volume":15.300152778625488,"liquidity":4410.4302,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:39:18.227988Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:38:24.021975Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-350m-by-may-1-20260714141931929","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.475,0.48,0.495,0.49,0.705,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.715,0.725,0.74,0.77,0.725,0.67,0.69,0.705,0.84,0.845,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928827","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-200m-by-may-1-20260714141931933","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?","group_item_title":"225M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.028,0.972],"probability":0.028,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:43.116871Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":162.8121,"volume_24hr":109.21209999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.017499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":55.61209999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.583134651184082,"normalized_volume":7.29183292388916,"liquidity":1193.57119,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:06:02.334518Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:04:46.216009Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-200m-by-may-1-20260714141931933","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.0455,0.0365,0.0375,0.037,0.0505,0.051,0.054,0.0545,0.054,0.0545,0.0545,0.055,0.054,0.0705,0.055,0.031,0.028,0.028,0.054,0.025,0.028,0.025,0.0245,0.0235,0.028,0.041,0.028,0.0265,0.027,0.0255,0.0255,0.028]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928825","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-300m-by-may-1-20260714141931931","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?","group_item_title":"255M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.64,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:29.390584Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.06999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":200.0351,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:55:41.282061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:54:55.362167Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-300m-by-may-1-20260714141931931","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.485,0.495,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.465,0.46,0.395,0.4,0.395,0.4,0.395,0.395,0.4,0.395,0.4,0.4,0.395,0.4,0.4]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928824","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-325m-by-may-1-20260714141931930","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?","group_item_title":"270M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:35.577735Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":152.6079,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:05:31.903225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:04:46.216009Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-325m-by-may-1-20260714141931930","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.4,0.41,0.4,0.405,0.41,0.415,0.415,0.41,0.39,0.395,0.385,0.405,0.395,0.395,0.4,0.405,0.395,0.4,0.48,0.425,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928826","event_id":"704507","slug":"will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-250m-by-may-1-20260714141931932","question":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31?","group_item_title":"240M","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.\n\nIf data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.\n\nNote: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-may-1-asmCg2nXC0OP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:35:57.090197Z","end_date":"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":444.5699,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:55:41.282061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:20:13.395516Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T23:42:14.026557Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732/will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-250m-by-may-1-20260714141931932","event_title":"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.47,0.515,0.465,0.465,0.455,0.46,0.445,0.445,0.395,0.42,0.405,0.39,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.3,0.3]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/704507","as_of":"2026-07-16T02:11:06.062831Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?\" — top market at 64% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}