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The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hw-e50fb783e6.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hw-e50fb783e6.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:57:45.115506Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":408.96,"volume_24hr":38.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.06483268737793,"normalized_volume":7.358773708343506,"liquidity":575.8393,"open_interest":337.579198,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101094","slug":"hawaii","label":"Hawaii"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"103941","slug":"hawaii-primary","label":"Hawaii Primary"},{"id":"103928","slug":"governor-primary","label":"Governor Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"105191","slug":"august-8-primaries","label":"August 8 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Josh Green","top_outcome_probability":0.943,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-10.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.455189Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.455189Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.191052Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435","chart_24h":[10.0,10.0,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,48.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04,38.04],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928958","event_id":"704563","slug":"will-josh-green-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323310","question":"Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?","group_item_title":"Josh Green","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.943,0.057],"probability":0.943,"spread":0.072,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:57:45.115506Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":277.85,"volume_24hr":38.04,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.632252216339111,"normalized_volume":8.892730712890625,"liquidity":93.48024,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T18:01:07.354058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.828510Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435/will-josh-green-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323310","event_title":"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.943,0.9445,0.9455,0.9415,0.9415,0.941,0.941,0.942,0.9425,0.9415,0.9415,0.9405,0.9405,0.9455,0.9455,0.9415,0.81,0.829,0.8475,0.876,0.8855,0.9005,0.945,0.9435,0.9435,0.9455,0.9435,0.9435,0.9435,0.9435,0.9455,0.945,0.943]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928965","event_id":"704563","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323317","question":"Will another candidate be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:58:36.490371Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T02:54:23.408029Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435/will-another-candidate-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323317","event_title":"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928959","event_id":"704563","slug":"will-david-bourgoin-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323311","question":"Will David Bourgoin be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?","group_item_title":"David Bourgoin","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4085,0.5915],"probability":0.4085,"spread":0.811,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T00:02:56.275107Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.31,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.358,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.262126445770264,"liquidity":140.89331,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T18:01:07.354058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.828510Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435/will-david-bourgoin-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323311","event_title":"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0505,0.415,0.18,0.1335,0.0785,0.393,0.262,0.0595,0.2655,0.1665,0.0785,0.3315,0.164,0.401,0.2565,0.29,0.158,0.063,0.298,0.22,0.1605,0.0775,0.3725,0.208,0.1595,0.134,0.1235,0.36,0.311,0.384,0.361,0.4185,0.3845,0.383,0.4205,0.4165,0.4205,0.4005,0.4155,0.4085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928961","event_id":"704563","slug":"will-george-lucas-tadeo-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323313","question":"Will George Lucas-Tadeo be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?","group_item_title":"George Lucas-Tadeo","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.361,0.639],"probability":0.361,"spread":0.714,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T23:59:39.840739Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41.4,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.2815,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.938366651535034,"liquidity":152.78971,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T18:01:07.354058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.828510Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435/will-george-lucas-tadeo-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323313","event_title":"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0795,0.1885,0.129,0.0395,0.332,0.0465,0.2605,0.039,0.297,0.04,0.051,0.36,0.0905,0.049,0.22,0.383,0.1565,0.3605,0.05,0.264,0.04,0.2935,0.048,0.277,0.3555,0.1255,0.111,0.3605,0.2545,0.379,0.369,0.3475,0.348,0.3835,0.374,0.341,0.363,0.4065,0.356,0.361]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2928960","event_id":"704563","slug":"will-lauren-kapoliahilaka-shim-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323312","question":"Will Lauren Kapoliahi'laka Shim be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?","group_item_title":"Lauren Kapoliahi'laka Shim","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.148,0.852],"probability":0.148,"spread":0.288,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T00:00:06.251965Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41.4,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.10049999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.938366651535034,"liquidity":200.17026,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T18:01:07.354058Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T18:00:11.828510Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T00:25:11.475921Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hawaii-governor-democratic-primary-winner-20260714153902435/will-lauren-kapoliahilaka-shim-be-the-hawaii-democratic-nominee-for-governor-20260714154323312","event_title":"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.0475,0.0475,0.122,0.0485,0.0865,0.129,0.0945,0.0515,0.056,0.1115,0.055,0.05,0.0555,0.0485,0.155,0.1645,0.052,0.055,0.0545,0.0495,0.0505,0.0735,0.053,0.1575,0.1385,0.102,0.097,0.1455,0.1565,0.1035,0.1365,0.1055,0.107,0.1065,0.0525,0.158,0.092,0.166,0.1625,0.148]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/704563","as_of":"2026-07-17T18:03:36.357280Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Hawaii Governor Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 94% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}