{"source":"polymarket","id":"704769","ticker":"next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730","slug":"next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730","title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:01.357139Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1803.645513,"volume_24hr":1803.645513,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.340471267700195,"normalized_volume":11.437355995178223,"liquidity":10315.7839,"open_interest":595.7257159999999,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"105531","slug":"opus","label":"Opus"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 21","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.195,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":39.92857,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.220104Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.220104Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.089098Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730","chart_24h":[0.0,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,7.445775,12.445775000000001,12.445775000000001,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,323.445775,1751.626035,1751.626035,1751.626035,1783.7169430000001,1783.7169430000001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929615","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-21-2026-20260714203533737","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 21","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:38.093110Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39.92857,"volume_24hr":39.92857,"prob_24h_change":-0.195,"volume_24h_change":39.92857,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.542896270751953,"normalized_volume":3.864471673965454,"liquidity":459.6345,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-21-2026-20260714203533737","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.435,0.44,0.425,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.41,0.405,0.35,0.345,0.355,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.355,0.365,0.38,0.205,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929609","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-july-15-2026-20260714203533731","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on or prior to July 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 15 or prior","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. 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Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:01.357139Z","end_date":"2026-07-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.225,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.0585625171661377,"normalized_volume":0.9004793763160706,"liquidity":485.8897,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-july-15-2026-20260714203533731","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.42,0.405,0.395,0.395,0.35,0.335,0.33,0.315,0.33,0.345,0.335,0.34,0.345,0.325,0.33,0.335,0.245,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929625","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-31-2026-20260714203533747","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:34.819210Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.445775,"volume_24hr":7.445775,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":7.445775,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5011014938354492,"normalized_volume":1.276930809020996,"liquidity":485.5865,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-31-2026-20260714203533747","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.435,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.415,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.345,0.335,0.345,0.36,0.345,0.335,0.35,0.335,0.345,0.26,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929612","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-18-2026-20260714203533734","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 18","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:24.301448Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.0,"volume_24hr":105.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.285,"volume_24h_change":105.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.170834541320801,"normalized_volume":6.099959850311279,"liquidity":606.8179,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-18-2026-20260714203533734","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.405,0.39,0.385,0.35,0.34,0.055,0.325,0.32,0.15,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929613","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-19-2026-20260714203533735","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 19","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:31.425965Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":240.33379200000002,"volume_24hr":240.33379200000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":240.33379200000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.92424201965332,"normalized_volume":8.442180633544922,"liquidity":556.3867,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-19-2026-20260714203533735","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.355,0.345,0.045,0.265,0.2,0.1,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929620","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-26-2026-20260714203533742","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:07.373615Z","end_date":"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":812.090908,"volume_24hr":812.090908,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":812.090908,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.805256843566895,"normalized_volume":12.594277381896973,"liquidity":1373.0277,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:40.571633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:05.232082Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-26-2026-20260714203533742","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.42,0.405,0.355,0.345,0.07,0.065,0.065,0.08,0.065,0.07,0.28,0.195,0.07,0.075,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929619","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-25-2026-20260714203533741","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:01.461701Z","end_date":"2026-07-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":593.846468,"volume_24hr":593.846468,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":593.846468,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.456376075744629,"normalized_volume":11.4468355178833,"liquidity":1305.3163,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:19:52.155807Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:19:13.453035Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-25-2026-20260714203533741","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.405,0.41,0.355,0.345,0.07,0.075,0.245,0.325,0.09,0.095,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929616","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-22-2026-20260714203533738","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 22","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:41.170931Z","end_date":"2026-07-22T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":506.9455,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-22-2026-20260714203533738","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.515,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.435,0.425,0.415,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.345,0.35,0.37,0.365,0.365,0.36,0.34,0.355,0.275,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929617","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-23-2026-20260714203533739","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 23","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:47.160177Z","end_date":"2026-07-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.195,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":500.5137,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:40.571633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:05.232082Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-23-2026-20260714203533739","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.44,0.425,0.44,0.43,0.405,0.375,0.355,0.34,0.355,0.355,0.375,0.35,0.37,0.365,0.37,0.23,0.385,0.28,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929624","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-30-2026-20260714203533746","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:28.698537Z","end_date":"2026-07-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":532.858,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-30-2026-20260714203533746","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.425,0.415,0.405,0.36,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.36,0.35,0.365,0.345,0.35,0.355,0.27,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929622","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-28-2026-20260714203533744","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:17.172862Z","end_date":"2026-07-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":534.9721,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:40.571633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:05.232082Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-28-2026-20260714203533744","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.405,0.41,0.395,0.39,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.34,0.355,0.35,0.34,0.355,0.35,0.335,0.34,0.345,0.27,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929614","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-20-2026-20260714203533736","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.39,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:34.233272Z","end_date":"2026-07-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":479.6387,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:40.571633Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:37:05.232082Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-20-2026-20260714203533736","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.415,0.41,0.355,0.345,0.34,0.335,0.355,0.35,0.355,0.335,0.34,0.34,0.265,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929623","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-29-2026-20260714203533745","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:23.305839Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":503.1063,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-29-2026-20260714203533745","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.42,0.425,0.41,0.425,0.36,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.36,0.365,0.36,0.365,0.34,0.35,0.355,0.275,0.265]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929610","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-16-2026-20260714203533732","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 16","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:07.262894Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":487.27,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-16-2026-20260714203533732","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.405,0.355,0.345,0.34,0.335,0.355,0.35,0.345,0.355,0.355,0.335,0.345,0.26,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929618","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-24-2026-20260714203533740","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:53.268616Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":556.3312,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-24-2026-20260714203533740","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.395,0.38,0.38,0.355,0.345,0.27,0.265,0.27,0.26,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929611","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-17-2026-20260714203533733","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 17","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:21:13.333016Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":514.1846,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-17-2026-20260714203533733","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.41,0.415,0.415,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.265,0.26,0.255,0.265,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929621","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-27-2026-20260714203533743","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:11.403068Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":468.7332,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-be-released-on-july-27-2026-20260714203533743","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.375,0.35,0.34,0.335,0.34,0.345,0.35,0.33,0.345,0.35,0.335,0.195,0.305,0.26,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929626","event_id":"704769","slug":"will-the-next-claude-opus-model-not-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260714203533748","question":"Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by July 31","description":"This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:22:45.663575Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":549.2473,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T18:53:14.544216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T18:52:46.314697Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:28.147185Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260714203533730/will-the-next-claude-opus-model-not-be-released-by-july-31-2026-20260714203533748","event_title":"Next Claude Opus released on...?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.415,0.42,0.41,0.395,0.39,0.355,0.255,0.24,0.235,0.24,0.23]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/704769","as_of":"2026-07-15T18:54:05.762232Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Claude Opus released on...?\" — top market at 8% probability across 18 outcomes","source_url":null}}