{"source":"polymarket","id":"704818","ticker":"chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673","slug":"chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673","title":"ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nClassifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.\n\nQualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. \n\nAn incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.\n\nRevisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chatgpt-outage-by-F7WtDYLOvwrm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chatgpt-outage-by-F7WtDYLOvwrm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:41:29.323379Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1172.3982279999998,"volume_24hr":1172.398228,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.406621932983398,"normalized_volume":10.159111976623535,"liquidity":5087.5677,"open_interest":1012.356895,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"473","slug":"gpt","label":"gpt"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"1563","slug":"outage","label":"outage"},{"id":"104287","slug":"outages","label":"outages"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.395,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1172.398228,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:20:21.071384Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:20:21.071384Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:29.475572Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,12.25,1097.063038,1172.398228,1172.398228,1172.398228,1172.398228],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929732","event_id":"704818","slug":"chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673","question":"ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\n\nClassifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.\n\nQualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. \n\nAn incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.\n\nRevisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chatgpt-outage-by-F7WtDYLOvwrm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chatgpt-outage-by-F7WtDYLOvwrm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T01:41:29.323379Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1172.3982279999998,"volume_24hr":1172.398228,"prob_24h_change":-0.10999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1172.398228,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.470556259155273,"normalized_volume":14.010885238647461,"liquidity":5276.5344,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T21:20:59.155382Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T21:20:21.120334Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T01:50:29.534180Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673/chatgpt-full-outage-by-august-31-20260715010037673","event_title":"ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.47,0.445,0.425,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.455,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.39]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/704818","as_of":"2026-07-15T21:44:53.477299Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}