{"source":"polymarket","id":"704863","ticker":"anthropic-announces-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713184131616","slug":"anthropic-announces-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713184131616","title":"Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?","description":"On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic announces that access to \"Claude Fable 5\" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.\n\nAn announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify. \n\nContinued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.\n\nThe percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T02:00:25.385665Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1369.677068,"volume_24hr":1369.677068,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.266132354736328,"normalized_volume":10.609164237976074,"liquidity":5512.4793,"open_interest":1122.3165490000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105578","slug":"fable","label":"Fable"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 24","top_outcome_probability":0.37,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":136.71655,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T07:40:30.882435Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T07:40:30.882435Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T02:07:28.468149Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713184131616","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,46.89655,46.89655,46.89655,152.89655,152.89655,152.89655,172.89655,173.78655,173.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,193.78655,310.77655,1121.557068,1196.557068,1224.677068,1224.677068,1224.677068,1369.677068,1369.677068,1369.677068],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929885","event_id":"704863","slug":"will-anthropic-announce-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-by-july-24-2026-20260713184131617","question":"Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 24","description":"On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic announces that access to \"Claude Fable 5\" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.\n\nAn announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify. \n\nContinued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.\n\nThe percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T02:00:25.385665Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.71654999999998,"volume_24hr":136.71655,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":136.71655,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.318704605102539,"normalized_volume":6.803958892822266,"liquidity":1382.934,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T07:07:41.928601Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T07:06:56.798717Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T02:07:28.666472Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713184131616/will-anthropic-announce-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-by-july-24-2026-20260713184131617","event_title":"Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.425,0.41,0.405,0.435,0.25,0.235,0.265,0.39,0.425,0.415,0.425,0.415,0.42,0.375,0.38,0.375,0.365,0.37,0.37,0.395,0.4,0.215,0.205,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2929886","event_id":"704863","slug":"will-anthropic-announce-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-by-july-31-2026-20260713184131618","question":"Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic announces that access to \"Claude Fable 5\" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.\n\nAn announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify. \n\nContinued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify.\n\nThe percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T02:00:26.435103Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1232.9605179999999,"volume_24hr":1232.960518,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":1232.960518,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.37490463256836,"normalized_volume":14.2111234664917,"liquidity":4583.4164,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T07:41:30.672960Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T07:40:31.318658Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T02:07:28.666472Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-byptptpt-20260713184131616/will-anthropic-announce-permanent-paid-plan-access-for-fable-5-by-july-31-2026-20260713184131618","event_title":"Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.52,0.515,0.49,0.515,0.485,0.505,0.51,0.5,0.515,0.47,0.46,0.425,0.35,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.43,0.3,0.315,0.28,0.275,0.275,0.35,0.36,0.365]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/704863","as_of":"2026-07-16T07:52:55.244459Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?\" — top market at 36% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}