{"source":"polymarket","id":"707739","ticker":"minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515","slug":"minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515","title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner-PkZ5Qd2-6UN2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-winner-PkZ5Qd2-6UN2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:18.048992Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.427075,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.0902204513549805,"liquidity":374.9968,"open_interest":48.427074,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1510","slug":"minnesota","label":"minnesota"},{"id":"24","slug":"deprec-us-election","label":"deprec USA Election"},{"id":"105192","slug":"august-11-primaries","label":"August 11 Primaries"},{"id":"105145","slug":"democratic-primaries","label":"Democratic Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:40.683576Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:40.683576Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:50.891703Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515","chart_24h":[48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,48.427075,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938014","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-20260715150700526","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:54:01.635969Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T08:04:42.965054Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-20260715150700526","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938006","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1015-20260715150700518","question":"Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Flanagan 10–15%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:30.173161Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":33.515,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:41.054186Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1015-20260715150700518","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.365,0.4,0.395,0.425,0.43,0.435,0.405,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.435,0.425,0.435,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.415,0.43,0.42,0.385,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938007","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-510-20260715150700519","question":"Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Flanagan 5–10%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:39.481528Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999967,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":34.467,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:41.054186Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-510-20260715150700519","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.4,0.36,0.325,0.425,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.415,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.425,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.405,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938008","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-less-than-5-20260715150700520","question":"Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Flanagan <5%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:34.316959Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":32.6985,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:47:41.054186Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-less-than-5-20260715150700520","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.41,0.425,0.375,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.385,0.41,0.405,0.405,0.43,0.44,0.385,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.385,0.395,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.44,0.44,0.415]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938004","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-at-least-20-20260715150700516","question":"Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Flanagan 20%+","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:18.048992Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":24.5235,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:42:45.625129Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-at-least-20-20260715150700516","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.41,0.42,0.385,0.42,0.405,0.405,0.44,0.405,0.405,0.455,0.455,0.42,0.415,0.44,0.445,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938009","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-less-than-5-20260715150700521","question":"Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Craig <5%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:46.396292Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":41.429,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:11:33.598346Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-less-than-5-20260715150700521","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.365,0.355,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.415,0.405,0.435,0.41,0.41,0.415,0.42,0.42,0.395,0.4,0.385,0.425,0.425,0.41,0.415,0.42,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.415,0.415,0.415,0.43,0.415,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938005","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1520-20260715150700517","question":"Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Flanagan 15–20%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:45.385852Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":38.7069,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:42:45.625129Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-peggy-flanagan-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1520-20260715150700517","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.38,0.36,0.335,0.42,0.405,0.39,0.365,0.405,0.42,0.41,0.365,0.415,0.43,0.39,0.415,0.43,0.405,0.425,0.355,0.415,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.375,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.405,0.41,0.42,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938012","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1520-20260715150700524","question":"Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Craig 15–20%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.78,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:52.752084Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.014999999999999958,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":32.3601,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:11:33.598346Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1520-20260715150700524","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.395,0.345,0.315,0.395,0.39,0.385,0.42,0.405,0.405,0.345,0.42,0.405,0.41,0.415,0.405,0.405,0.4,0.43,0.395,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.425,0.41,0.405,0.395,0.41]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938011","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1015-20260715150700523","question":"Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Craig 10–15%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.405,0.595],"probability":0.405,"spread":0.77,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:51.473108Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.004999999999999949,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":34.4465,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:42:45.625129Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-1015-20260715150700523","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.41,0.36,0.345,0.405,0.41,0.395,0.365,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.425,0.375,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.425,0.415,0.37,0.37,0.415,0.415,0.41,0.42,0.405,0.41,0.41,0.395,0.405,0.4,0.395,0.405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938010","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-510-20260715150700522","question":"Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Craig 5–10%","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.74,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:48.425549Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":46.4085,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:42:45.625129Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-510-20260715150700522","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.385,0.385,0.365,0.41,0.425,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.435,0.435,0.435,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2938013","event_id":"707739","slug":"will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-at-least-20-20260715150700525","question":"Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Craig 20%+","description":"Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.68,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T21:53:55.704086Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.427075,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":-48.427075,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.224871635437012,"liquidity":50.2444,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:51:20.873581Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:11:33.598346Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T22:07:51.098391Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-margin-of-victory-20260715150700515/will-angie-craig-win-the-minnesota-senate-democratic-primary-by-at-least-20-20260715150700525","event_title":"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.345,0.32,0.3,0.395,0.39,0.365,0.37,0.415,0.39,0.41,0.325,0.335,0.325,0.305,0.42,0.37,0.355,0.41,0.395,0.37,0.39,0.375,0.385,0.38,0.37,0.385,0.385,0.39,0.39,0.385,0.36,0.36]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/707739","as_of":"2026-07-25T19:53:00.790082Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory\" — top market at 50% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}