{"source":"polymarket","id":"710516","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99044.46487399994,"volume_24hr":99040.54330800002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":49.922977447509766,"normalized_volume":26.90451431274414,"liquidity":32208.0034,"open_interest":76162.175045,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.885,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":99028.77860800002,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T20:29:24.455712Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T20:29:24.455712Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T16:25:42.757718Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026","chart_24h":[3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,3.921566,11.7647,73.235276,204.509769,234.117604,237.058779,240.980346,240.980346,240.980346,315.784266,362.391434,362.391434,613.394911,613.394911,613.394911,813.394911,821.667637,821.667637,821.667637,821.667637,821.667637,830.758545,830.758545,3589.578306,8418.366255,19036.404502999998,34489.433838,39010.145094,79677.494416,96390.230066,98313.41510600001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2947335","event_id":"710516","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.885,0.115],"probability":0.885,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-07-18T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99044.46487399994,"volume_24hr":99040.54330800002,"prob_24h_change":0.385,"volume_24h_change":99028.77860800002,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.49443817138672,"normalized_volume":37.116058349609375,"liquidity":31790.5632,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T20:31:13.192129Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T20:29:24.617995Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T16:25:42.982513Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-18-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.505,0.515,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.545,0.555,0.565,0.545,0.785,0.795,0.775,0.895,0.875,0.875]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/710516","as_of":"2026-07-17T20:34:02.776698Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?\" — top market at 88% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}