{"source":"polymarket","id":"711104","ticker":"mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029","slug":"mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029","title":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nFedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. \n\nWhether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T19:14:08.316000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11955.572943,"volume_24hr":11955.572943,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.329795837402344,"normalized_volume":17.92497444152832,"liquidity":23064.17009,"open_interest":8901.433078,"categories":[],"tags":[{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"105639","slug":"khmara","label":"Khmara"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"105637","slug":"fedorov","label":"Fedorov"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"452","slug":"zelensky","label":"zelensky"},{"id":"216","slug":"zelenskyy","label":"zelenskyy"},{"id":"105638","slug":"defense-minister","label":"defense minister"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"July 31","top_outcome_probability":0.0905,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.1445,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4447.361576999999,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:51.605263Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:51.605263Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T19:50:35.888137Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029","chart_24h":[20.0,1124.549951,1632.07637,3574.717222,6267.267396,6367.267396,11265.504727999998,11744.102942999998],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2950826","event_id":"711104","slug":"mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-31-2026-20260716190353339","question":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nFedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. \n\nWhether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. \n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0905,0.9095],"probability":0.0905,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T19:14:12.169000Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4500.182087999999,"volume_24hr":4500.182087999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.1445,"volume_24h_change":4447.361576999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.90302848815918,"normalized_volume":19.84827423095703,"liquidity":6124.57273,"categories":[],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:01:57.630608Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:52.082487Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T19:50:35.949443Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-31-2026-20260716190353339","event_title":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.182,0.165,0.136,0.09,0.0955,0.079,0.0895]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2950825","event_id":"711104","slug":"mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-24-2026-20260716190353338","question":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 24","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nFedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. \n\nWhether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. \n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.057,0.943],"probability":0.057,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T19:14:14.257000Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5628.279744,"volume_24hr":5628.279744,"prob_24h_change":-0.032499999999999994,"volume_24h_change":5408.283079000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.46027183532715,"normalized_volume":20.91766357421875,"liquidity":8029.44773,"categories":[],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T00:01:57.630608Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T00:00:52.082487Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T19:50:35.949443Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-24-2026-20260716190353338","event_title":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.0895,0.0595,0.082,0.058,0.0515,0.058,0.06,0.056]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2950824","event_id":"711104","slug":"mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-17-2026-20260716190353337","question":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"July 17","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nFedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada. \n\nA public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify. \n\nWhether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. \n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-2026071618501-BP7jPytyyUqD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0075,0.9925],"probability":0.0075,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T19:14:08.316000Z","end_date":"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1827.111111,"volume_24hr":1827.111111,"prob_24h_change":-0.027500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":1827.111111,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.042783737182617,"normalized_volume":15.823929786682129,"liquidity":9466.94907,"categories":[],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T23:45:06.987271Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T23:44:19.813706Z","added_at":"2026-07-16T19:50:35.949443Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029/mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-by-july-17-2026-20260716190353337","event_title":"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?","chart_24h":[0.035,0.0135,0.0075,0.0075,0.0065,0.0075]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/711104","as_of":"2026-07-17T00:27:08.951575Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?\" — top market at 6% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}