{"source":"polymarket","id":"712153","ticker":"moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804","slug":"moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804","title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/moana-2026-opening-weekend-box-office-20260706135043555-fm6Hga64McdK.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/moana-2026-opening-weekend-box-office-20260706135043555-fm6Hga64McdK.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:14:56.457963Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1724.313022,"volume_24hr":1724.313022,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.959386825561523,"normalized_volume":11.29401683807373,"liquidity":1497.15043,"open_interest":890.1061599999999,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"box office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"16-17.5m","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":441.47302199999996,"updated_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:28.900476Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:28.900476Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.534632Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,63.24000000000001,63.24000000000001,83.24000000000001,83.24000000000001,83.24000000000001,83.24000000000001,102.36000000000001,102.36000000000001,102.36000000000001,102.36000000000001,1352.223022,1352.223022,1520.313022,1724.313022],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954571","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-16m-and-17pt5m-20260716155626806","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?","group_item_title":"16-17.5m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.69,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:15:02.635408Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":441.473022,"volume_24hr":441.47302199999996,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":441.47302199999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.566056251525879,"normalized_volume":10.410900115966797,"liquidity":162.3661,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T04:11:27.788564Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:29.501986Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-16m-and-17pt5m-20260716155626806","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.425,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.37,0.24,0.235,0.23,0.515,0.51,0.525,0.625,0.61,0.595,0.67,0.335,0.31,0.115,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954572","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-17pt5m-and-19m-20260716155626807","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?","group_item_title":"17.5-19m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.66,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:15:08.611220Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":237.88,"volume_24hr":237.88,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":237.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.575505256652832,"normalized_volume":8.410757064819336,"liquidity":190.6889,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T04:11:27.788564Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:29.501986Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-17pt5m-and-19m-20260716155626807","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.425,0.43,0.425,0.13,0.155,0.155,0.355,0.405,0.27,0.36,0.355,0.295,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.385,0.285,0.505,0.365]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954570","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-16m-20260716155626805","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?","group_item_title":"<16m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:14:56.457963Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":843.0,"volume_24hr":843.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":843.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.040851593017578,"normalized_volume":12.734914779663086,"liquidity":212.9465,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:29.501986Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:29.501986Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-16m-20260716155626805","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.425,0.435,0.43,0.435,0.585,0.67,0.625,0.365,0.195,0.14,0.245,0.245,0.255,0.195,0.22,0.195,0.2,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954573","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-19m-and-20pt5m-20260716155626808","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?","group_item_title":"19-20.5m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2085,0.7915],"probability":0.2085,"spread":0.375,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:15:14.744600Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":152.87,"volume_24hr":152.87,"prob_24h_change":-0.26649999999999996,"volume_24h_change":152.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.63640308380127,"normalized_volume":7.1138458251953125,"liquidity":190.79002,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T04:11:27.788564Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T04:10:29.501986Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-19m-and-20pt5m-20260716155626808","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.485,0.485,0.48,0.475,0.475,0.465,0.47,0.465,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.385,0.25,0.255,0.245,0.105,0.265,0.27,0.155,0.11,0.015,0.0155,0.232,0.2135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954574","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-20pt5m-and-22m-20260716155626809","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20.5m and 22m?","group_item_title":"20.5-22m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.016,0.984],"probability":0.016,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:15:20.782006Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.88,"volume_24hr":12.88,"prob_24h_change":-0.294,"volume_24h_change":12.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.901779890060425,"normalized_volume":1.9407702684402466,"liquidity":397.76957,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T02:58:11.064601Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T02:01:23.867517Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-20pt5m-and-22m-20260716155626809","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.31,0.315,0.25,0.255,0.25,0.395,0.105,0.1,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.12,0.0155,0.016,0.016]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954575","event_id":"712153","slug":"will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-22m-20260717020243088","question":"Will \"Moana\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?","group_item_title":"22m+","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Moana\" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.008,0.992],"probability":0.008,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T02:15:26.802332Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36.21,"volume_24hr":36.21,"prob_24h_change":-0.422,"volume_24h_change":36.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.4852986335754395,"normalized_volume":3.6686809062957764,"liquidity":413.10546,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T02:40:45.430597Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T02:01:23.867517Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T02:23:47.562979Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/moana-2026-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260716155626804/will-moana-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-22m-20260717020243088","event_title":"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.43,0.435,0.43,0.4,0.25,0.255,0.25,0.085,0.085,0.285,0.245,0.09,0.0075,0.008,0.008]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/712153","as_of":"2026-07-18T04:21:28.807903Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"\"Moana (2026)\" 2nd Weekend Box Office\" — top market at 29% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}