{"source":"polymarket","id":"712263","ticker":"best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592","slug":"best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592","title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-april-a_9taJMfZn2f.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-april-a_9taJMfZn2f.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:23.923074Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11058.218602,"volume_24hr":5468.462445,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.430715560913086,"normalized_volume":17.60936737060547,"liquidity":29779.77626,"open_interest":1966.0223639999997,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"},{"id":"104431","slug":"moonshot","label":"Moonshot"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alibaba","top_outcome_probability":0.71,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.125,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":132.37223900000015,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.585788Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.585788Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.674698Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592","chart_24h":[4519.000016,4507.010016,4494.113351,4488.333351,4532.1333509999995,4522.1333509999995,4816.1333509999995,4816.1333509999995,4810.6333509999995,4814.479503,4833.471724,4830.769023,4830.769023,4860.649023,4759.209922,4753.209922,4753.209922,4753.209922,4757.056074,4757.056074,4757.056074,4654.306074,4821.921998,4821.921998,5065.548079,3705.167619,3252.417619,3145.720648,2740.989233,3143.461747,2202.302226,2097.772226,2614.373567,2614.373567,2601.702567,2578.898567,5372.212445,5468.462445],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954946","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241593","question":"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.71,0.29],"probability":0.71,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:23.923074Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1879.340867,"volume_24hr":958.4815530000001,"prob_24h_change":0.125,"volume_24h_change":132.37223900000015,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.394092559814453,"normalized_volume":15.784281730651855,"liquidity":1739.7849,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:49:51.640670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.841158Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-alibaba-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241593","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.585,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.655,0.66,0.655,0.655,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.685]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954947","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241594","question":"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:27.049203Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1222.9180390000001,"volume_24hr":495.937856,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":-160.18876899999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.585348129272461,"normalized_volume":14.037495613098145,"liquidity":2471.6773,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:20:38.980710Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:17:48.513788Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-moonshot-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241594","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.265,0.26,0.26,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.235,0.235,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.205,0.17,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954949","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241596","question":"Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:35.924643Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1000.251526,"volume_24hr":395.25526,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":-155.99100599999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.684176445007324,"normalized_volume":13.255755424499512,"liquidity":2696.131,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:19:20.947967Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T15:48:00.670499Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-zptai-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241596","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954951","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241598","question":"Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0605,0.9395],"probability":0.0605,"spread":0.093,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:51.251135Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":978.513924,"volume_24hr":476.14272399999993,"prob_24h_change":0.020499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":103.56782399999992,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.421085357666016,"normalized_volume":13.171663284301758,"liquidity":3032.47231,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:49:51.640670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.841158Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-deepseek-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241598","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.034,0.0345,0.0295,0.03,0.025,0.0195,0.017,0.0175,0.017,0.0165,0.0165,0.032,0.036,0.0475,0.0455,0.047,0.0395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954948","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241595","question":"Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.087,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:33.159207Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":896.926047,"volume_24hr":380.000414,"prob_24h_change":0.044,"volume_24h_change":-57.02058599999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.53132152557373,"normalized_volume":12.841103553771973,"liquidity":2185.94758,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:49:51.640670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.841158Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241595","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.0095,0.0105,0.0135,0.0095,0.0155,0.0095,0.01,0.0105,0.013,0.01,0.01,0.0145,0.01,0.015,0.011,0.01,0.014,0.012,0.01,0.012,0.01,0.0095,0.0085,0.008,0.008,0.0085,0.028,0.0285,0.0265,0.0325,0.0345,0.0315,0.0415,0.034,0.0475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954950","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-xiaomi-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241597","question":"Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0255,0.9745],"probability":0.0255,"spread":0.021,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:02:46.531568Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":801.6738770000001,"volume_24hr":418.02226600000006,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":117.72565500000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.903428077697754,"normalized_volume":12.421074867248535,"liquidity":3185.79677,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:49:51.640670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.841158Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241597","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0185,0.026]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954953","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241601","question":"Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0185,0.9815],"probability":0.0185,"spread":0.023,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:03.323507Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":789.9877740000001,"volume_24hr":439.202474,"prob_24h_change":0.007999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":136.74217399999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.098649024963379,"normalized_volume":12.366658210754395,"liquidity":2552.5941,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:19:20.947967Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:17:48.513788Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-minimax-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241601","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105,0.0205,0.0195,0.0155,0.0155,0.0165,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.0155,0.0185,0.0135,0.0185]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954955","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241603","question":"Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:13.355206Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":913.2183980000001,"volume_24hr":590.468398,"prob_24h_change":0.0075,"volume_24h_change":342.468398,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.301271438598633,"normalized_volume":12.909106254577637,"liquidity":3452.9154,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:20:38.980710Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T15:48:00.670499Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-tencent-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241603","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.0115,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0115,0.025,0.009,0.009,0.009,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.011,0.0125,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954952","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241599","question":"Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Bytedance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0075,0.9925],"probability":0.0075,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:01.503265Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":889.4955000000001,"volume_24hr":549.7215,"prob_24h_change":0.004999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":284.6975,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.0054292678833,"normalized_volume":12.809739112854004,"liquidity":2603.28581,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:49:51.640670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T16:48:42.841158Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-bytedance-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241599","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.0025,0.005,0.005,0.006,0.005,0.0055,0.006,0.006,0.0085,0.005,0.0065,0.007,0.006,0.006,0.005,0.006,0.005,0.005,0.006,0.006,0.006,0.005,0.005,0.0055,0.005,0.0195,0.0235,0.0255,0.0265,0.0275,0.019,0.008]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954956","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241604","question":"Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0035,0.9965],"probability":0.0035,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:15.413965Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":902.7892499999999,"volume_24hr":431.2299999999999,"prob_24h_change":0.002,"volume_24h_change":51.68399999999991,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.026105880737305,"normalized_volume":12.865696907043457,"liquidity":3757.53323,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T15:49:53.681428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T15:48:00.670499Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-stepfun-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241604","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.003,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.002,0.0025,0.002,0.002,0.003,0.004,0.003,0.004,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035,0.0035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954954","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241602","question":"Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:12.366281Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":783.1034,"volume_24hr":334.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.006999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":36.32499999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.037388801574707,"normalized_volume":12.334280014038086,"liquidity":2289.65932,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T16:19:20.947967Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T15:48:00.670499Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241602","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.0075,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.007,0.0075,0.0065,0.0065,0.006,0.005,0.006,0.006,0.0055,0.006,0.0055,0.0015,0.0015,0.0005,0.0005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2954957","event_id":"712263","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241605","question":"Will any other company have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, Bytedance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:03:16.810419Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T06:42:59.676161Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:09:23.780633Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-august-20260717004241592/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717004241605","event_title":"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/712263","as_of":"2026-07-20T17:00:30.927439Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Best Chinese AI Company end of August?\" — top market at 71% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}