{"source":"polymarket","id":"712295","ticker":"which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546","slug":"which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546","title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:35.274822Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13619.144382,"volume_24hr":13619.144382,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.72185516357422,"normalized_volume":18.424955368041992,"liquidity":94721.43669,"open_interest":2195.6403119999995,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.865,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.37,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1788.648168,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.173880Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.173880Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:04.988567Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546","chart_24h":[0.0,157.11555,178.729516,603.729516,965.045303,980.045303,5688.110684,8703.145779,8703.145779,8703.145779,8914.773679,13477.034382,13619.144382],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955043","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210285","question":"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.865,0.135],"probability":0.865,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:35.274822Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1788.6481680000002,"volume_24hr":1788.648168,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":1788.648168,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.128202438354492,"normalized_volume":15.73445987701416,"liquidity":4988.1962,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:33:09.555842Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210285","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.56,0.68,0.665,0.69,0.68,0.785,0.845,0.85,0.85,0.885,0.865]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955045","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210287","question":"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:47.403372Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":695.190507,"volume_24hr":695.190507,"prob_24h_change":-0.448,"volume_24h_change":695.190507,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.42848014831543,"normalized_volume":12.017562866210938,"liquidity":5576.80564,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210287","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.12,0.41,0.36,0.06,0.05,0.0635,0.051,0.0415,0.036,0.0365,0.042,0.047]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955048","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210290","question":"Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:03.252465Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":675.992062,"volume_24hr":675.992062,"prob_24h_change":-0.448,"volume_24h_change":675.992062,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.271358489990234,"normalized_volume":11.91510009765625,"liquidity":4154.56249,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210290","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.45,0.255,0.17,0.09,0.085,0.07,0.045,0.0405,0.044,0.044,0.0455,0.047]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955047","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210289","question":"Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.056,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:55.303508Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":824.257315,"volume_24hr":824.257315,"prob_24h_change":-0.46399999999999997,"volume_24h_change":824.257315,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.3985595703125,"normalized_volume":12.650169372558594,"liquidity":4425.47303,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210289","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.12,0.415,0.24,0.2,0.315,0.035,0.04,0.026,0.015,0.021,0.0145,0.031]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955053","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210295","question":"Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0275,0.9725],"probability":0.0275,"spread":0.041,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:23.502436Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":613.7700000000001,"volume_24hr":613.7700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.46749999999999997,"volume_24h_change":613.7700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.734806060791016,"normalized_volume":11.565203666687012,"liquidity":3882.49745,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210295","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.45,0.235,0.155,0.07,0.055,0.04,0.035,0.0325,0.024,0.025,0.0195,0.0275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955050","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210292","question":"Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0235,0.9765],"probability":0.0235,"spread":0.033,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:11.492657Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":632.7700000000001,"volume_24hr":632.7700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.4715,"volume_24h_change":632.7700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.903335571289062,"normalized_volume":11.675106048583984,"liquidity":4221.48538,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-zptai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210292","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.075,0.415,0.4,0.255,0.065,0.035,0.037,0.026,0.021,0.021,0.018,0.0235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955058","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210300","question":"Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0195,0.9805],"probability":0.0195,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:45.056695Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":577.76111,"volume_24hr":577.76111,"prob_24h_change":-0.4755,"volume_24h_change":577.76111,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.402965545654297,"normalized_volume":11.348804473876953,"liquidity":5031.64543,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210300","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.075,0.415,0.415,0.065,0.05,0.053,0.0345,0.0235,0.022,0.0235,0.016,0.0195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955056","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210298","question":"Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:37.584847Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":642.8700000000001,"volume_24hr":642.8700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.4785,"volume_24h_change":642.8700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.991193771362305,"normalized_volume":11.732398986816406,"liquidity":5009.39658,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:33.496201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210298","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.365,0.355,0.065,0.04,0.037,0.036,0.0195,0.0195,0.0155,0.0165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955063","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210305","question":"Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0165,0.9835],"probability":0.0165,"spread":0.027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:13:14.591315Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":642.8700000000001,"volume_24hr":642.8700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.4785,"volume_24h_change":642.8700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.991193771362305,"normalized_volume":11.732398986816406,"liquidity":7510.19746,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:33.496201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-microsoft-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210305","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.47,0.325,0.15,0.045,0.05,0.033,0.0295,0.022,0.0195,0.0195,0.016,0.0165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955057","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210299","question":"Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.011,0.989],"probability":0.011,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:40.991175Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":562.7700000000001,"volume_24hr":562.7700000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.484,"volume_24h_change":562.7700000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.259660720825195,"normalized_volume":11.255352973937988,"liquidity":4225.6456,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-thinky-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210299","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.355,0.36,0.06,0.045,0.0405,0.0185,0.015,0.0125,0.0125,0.0105,0.011]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955044","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210286","question":"Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:43.230537Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":612.13311,"volume_24hr":612.13311,"prob_24h_change":-0.485,"volume_24h_change":612.13311,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.720081329345703,"normalized_volume":11.555602073669434,"liquidity":4699.08738,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210286","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.135,0.115,0.023,0.0105,0.0065,0.0055,0.0055,0.008,0.01]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955051","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210293","question":"Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0095,0.9905],"probability":0.0095,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:17.362707Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":605.7620000000001,"volume_24hr":605.762,"prob_24h_change":-0.4855,"volume_24h_change":605.762,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.662452697753906,"normalized_volume":11.518021583557129,"liquidity":4400.50329,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210293","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.43,0.39,0.375,0.155,0.04,0.2465,0.004,0.0055,0.004,0.004,0.004,0.0095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955062","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210304","question":"Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.008,0.992],"probability":0.008,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:13:04.658868Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":605.7620000000001,"volume_24hr":605.762,"prob_24h_change":-0.487,"volume_24h_change":605.762,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.662452697753906,"normalized_volume":11.518021583557129,"liquidity":5178.92137,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210304","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.475,0.35,0.35,0.045,0.04,0.0235,0.008,0.005,0.0045,0.004,0.008,0.008]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955054","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210296","question":"Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.006,0.994],"probability":0.006,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:29.614761Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.762,"volume_24hr":505.762,"prob_24h_change":-0.489,"volume_24h_change":505.762,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.68362808227539,"normalized_volume":10.879711151123047,"liquidity":4170.59401,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210296","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.465,0.355,0.35,0.18,0.04,0.029,0.0075,0.0075,0.0065,0.0065,0.006,0.006]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955061","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210303","question":"Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:13:02.450204Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.762,"volume_24hr":505.762,"prob_24h_change":-0.49,"volume_24h_change":505.762,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.68362808227539,"normalized_volume":10.879711151123047,"liquidity":3543.3176,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-tencent-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210303","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.465,0.35,0.33,0.18,0.04,0.025,0.0085,0.0055,0.0045,0.005,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955049","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210291","question":"Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0045,0.9955],"probability":0.0045,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:06.349824Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":625.8620000000001,"volume_24hr":625.8620000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.4905,"volume_24h_change":625.8620000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.842561721801758,"normalized_volume":11.63547420501709,"liquidity":4615.06847,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:46.308963Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:48:31.214338Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-baidu-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210291","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.425,0.395,0.375,0.095,0.04,0.022,0.007,0.0055,0.0045,0.004,0.0055,0.0045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955046","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210288","question":"Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:11:52.483057Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":517.13311,"volume_24hr":517.13311,"prob_24h_change":-0.491,"volume_24h_change":517.13311,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.8027286529541,"normalized_volume":10.957378387451172,"liquidity":3660.77503,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:33.496201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210288","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.12,0.41,0.38,0.075,0.04,0.032,0.0055,0.0065,0.0065,0.005,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955055","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210297","question":"Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Bytedance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.004,0.996],"probability":0.004,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:33.763872Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.784,"volume_24hr":505.784,"prob_24h_change":-0.491,"volume_24h_change":505.784,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.683860778808594,"normalized_volume":10.879862785339355,"liquidity":5542.98436,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:33.496201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210297","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.465,0.355,0.365,0.105,0.04,0.031,0.0075,0.0075,0.0065,0.0065,0.0045,0.004]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955052","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210294","question":"Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.003,0.997],"probability":0.003,"spread":0.004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:20.505255Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.762,"volume_24hr":505.76200000000006,"prob_24h_change":-0.492,"volume_24h_change":505.76200000000006,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.68362808227539,"normalized_volume":10.879711151123047,"liquidity":3011.62251,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T09:59:31.705010Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T09:58:36.852612Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-spacexai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210294","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.47,0.06,0.045,0.04,0.037,0.0205,0.0035,0.0035,0.003]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955059","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210301","question":"Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:12:54.165350Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":505.762,"volume_24hr":505.762,"prob_24h_change":-0.4925,"volume_24h_change":505.762,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.68362808227539,"normalized_volume":10.879711151123047,"liquidity":3322.88809,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:33.496201Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T10:32:12.606290Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210301","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.355,0.345,0.17,0.0865,0.026,0.005,0.0055,0.0045,0.0045,0.0035,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955060","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210302","question":"Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0025,0.9975],"probability":0.0025,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:13:02.811255Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":466.76099999999997,"volume_24hr":466.761,"prob_24h_change":-0.4925,"volume_24h_change":466.761,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.2573299407959,"normalized_volume":10.601714134216309,"liquidity":2190.21217,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T09:59:31.705010Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T09:58:36.852612Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210302","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.455,0.355,0.29,0.145,0.195,0.009,0.003,0.003,0.0025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955074","event_id":"712295","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210316","question":"Will any other company have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:13:58.772244Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T03:55:42.186998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-august-20260717015626546/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717020210316","event_title":"Which company has best AI model end of August?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/712295","as_of":"2026-07-17T10:52:54.869443Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has best AI model end of August?\" — top market at 86% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}