{"source":"polymarket","id":"712296","ticker":"which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100","slug":"which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100","title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:02.860299Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4921.218959,"volume_24hr":4921.218959,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.47586441040039,"normalized_volume":14.69519329071045,"liquidity":17028.97388,"open_interest":1185.463409,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic","top_outcome_probability":0.705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.23999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":386.67899,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.648169Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.648169Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:04.988567Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,62.628833,62.628833,644.415653,1493.564153,1546.0838860000001,4504.218959,4504.218959,4839.218959,4854.218959,4921.218959],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955075","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-anthropic-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450510","question":"Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:02.860299Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":386.67899,"volume_24hr":386.67899,"prob_24h_change":0.23999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":386.67899,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.19674015045166,"normalized_volume":9.96397876739502,"liquidity":363.9478,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-anthropic-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450510","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1165,0.8835],"probability":0.1165,"spread":0.227,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:21.021823Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":274.616,"volume_24hr":274.616,"prob_24h_change":-0.3035,"volume_24h_change":274.616,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.506767272949219,"normalized_volume":8.855921745300293,"liquidity":762.48151,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-openai-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450514","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:44.639401Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":246.79590000000002,"volume_24hr":246.79590000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":246.79590000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.00007438659668,"normalized_volume":8.523700714111328,"liquidity":734.9274,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-xiaomi-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450519","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:17.858152Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":246.98590000000002,"volume_24hr":246.98590000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":246.98590000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.003689765930176,"normalized_volume":8.526070594787598,"liquidity":750.3064,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-amazon-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450526","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.083,0.917],"probability":0.083,"spread":0.156,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:36.114088Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":214.7979,"volume_24hr":214.7979,"prob_24h_change":-0.33699999999999997,"volume_24h_change":214.7979,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.356135368347168,"normalized_volume":8.101491928100586,"liquidity":870.6229,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-microsoft-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450530","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:20.267110Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":207.7938,"volume_24hr":207.7938,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":207.7938,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.204883575439453,"normalized_volume":8.002321243286133,"liquidity":730.6239,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:32:29.470623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:32:07.757504Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-moonshot-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450513","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0595,0.9405],"probability":0.0595,"spread":0.107,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:09.930263Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":401.830733,"volume_24hr":401.830733,"prob_24h_change":-0.4355,"volume_24h_change":401.830733,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.392874717712402,"normalized_volume":10.09257698059082,"liquidity":768.99382,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-meituan-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450524","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.495,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.225,0.2,0.0215,0.0775,0.0585,0.1725,0.067,0.045,0.034]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955083","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450518","question":"Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:38.578230Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":280.8068,"volume_24hr":280.8068,"prob_24h_change":-0.365,"volume_24h_change":280.8068,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.613768577575684,"normalized_volume":8.926078796386719,"liquidity":773.8551,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-baidu-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450518","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.23,0.2,0.185,0.12,0.085,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955086","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450521","question":"Will Bytedance have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Bytedance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:53.907254Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":207.79485,"volume_24hr":207.79485,"prob_24h_change":-0.37,"volume_24h_change":207.79485,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.204906463623047,"normalized_volume":8.002336502075195,"liquidity":758.6748,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T13:33:06.867860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T13:32:46.561692Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-bytedance-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450521","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.205,0.06,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955085","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450520","question":"Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:49.787714Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":263.197486,"volume_24hr":263.197486,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":263.197486,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.304118156433105,"normalized_volume":8.723052024841309,"liquidity":758.2029,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T13:33:06.867860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T13:32:46.561692Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-deepseek-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450520","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.24,0.245,0.24,0.24,0.155,0.09,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955082","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450517","question":"Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.041,0.959],"probability":0.041,"spread":0.078,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:34.138930Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":214.7979,"volume_24hr":214.7979,"prob_24h_change":-0.379,"volume_24h_change":214.7979,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.356135368347168,"normalized_volume":8.101491928100586,"liquidity":734.174,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-zptai-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450517","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.23,0.235,0.23,0.225,0.22,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.028,0.0145,0.006,0.0355,0.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955077","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-google-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450512","question":"Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:16.863466Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":207.18265,"volume_24hr":207.18265,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":207.18265,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.19149112701416,"normalized_volume":7.993540287017822,"liquidity":701.312,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T13:50:12.625791Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T13:49:46.675181Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-google-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450512","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.4,0.4,0.395,0.375,0.365,0.36,0.355,0.345,0.37,0.335,0.24,0.23,0.07,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955081","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450516","question":"Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:32.325627Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":207.79485,"volume_24hr":207.79485,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":207.79485,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.204906463623047,"normalized_volume":8.002336502075195,"liquidity":733.9957,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T13:33:06.867860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T13:32:46.561692Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-spacexai-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450516","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.235,0.235,0.24,0.245,0.25,0.215,0.055,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955093","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450528","question":"Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:28.984817Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":249.46679999999998,"volume_24hr":249.46679999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":249.46679999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.050688743591309,"normalized_volume":8.556886672973633,"liquidity":563.0559,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T12:58:50.010466Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T12:57:52.485350Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-tencent-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450528","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.185,0.43,0.245,0.375,0.23,0.385,0.4,0.34,0.255,0.12,0.065,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955094","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450529","question":"Will StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:34.860272Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259.46590000000003,"volume_24hr":259.4659,"prob_24h_change":-0.38,"volume_24h_change":259.4659,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.236332893371582,"normalized_volume":8.678606986999512,"liquidity":802.6968,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:32:29.470623Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:32:07.757504Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-stepfun-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450529","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.185,0.43,0.415,0.415,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.425,0.395,0.39,0.21,0.28,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955087","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450522","question":"Will MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:56.993206Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":242.7938,"volume_24hr":242.7938,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":242.7938,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.923391342163086,"normalized_volume":8.473422050476074,"liquidity":722.45525,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T13:50:12.625791Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T13:49:46.675181Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-minimax-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450522","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.007,0.993],"probability":0.007,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:10.907680Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":206.372,"volume_24hr":206.372,"prob_24h_change":-0.413,"volume_24h_change":206.372,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.173677444458008,"normalized_volume":7.981860637664795,"liquidity":724.58907,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:46.444691Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T15:49:17.703452Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-meta-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450511","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0065,0.9935],"probability":0.0065,"spread":0.011,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:14:31.315506Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":206.372,"volume_24hr":206.372,"prob_24h_change":-0.4135,"volume_24h_change":206.372,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.173677444458008,"normalized_volume":7.981860637664795,"liquidity":778.76337,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T14:59:24.317148Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T14:58:59.997198Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-alibaba-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450515","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:00.830594Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":114.7979,"volume_24hr":114.7979,"prob_24h_change":-0.4185,"volume_24h_change":114.7979,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.659547805786133,"normalized_volume":6.333432674407959,"liquidity":830.10873,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T14:59:54.319428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T14:58:59.997198Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-thinky-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450523","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.42,0.23,0.23,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.225,0.225,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.07,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015,0.0015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2955090","event_id":"712296","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450525","question":"Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:16.805967Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":114.7979,"volume_24hr":114.7979,"prob_24h_change":-0.4185,"volume_24h_change":114.7979,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.659547805786133,"normalized_volume":6.333432674407959,"liquidity":841.8226,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T14:59:54.319428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T14:58:59.997198Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-mistral-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450525","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0015,0.9985],"probability":0.0015,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:15:22.984226Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":166.0789,"volume_24hr":166.0789,"prob_24h_change":-0.4185,"volume_24h_change":166.0789,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.207575798034668,"normalized_volume":7.348421096801758,"liquidity":784.28123,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T14:59:54.319428Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T14:58:59.997198Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-nvidia-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450527","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? 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If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T03:16:25.607221Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-17T03:55:42.186998Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T03:39:05.049096Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-august-style-control-on-20260717021043100/will-any-other-company-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260717021450541","event_title":"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/712296","as_of":"2026-07-17T15:55:31.939068Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)\" — top market at 6% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}