{"source":"polymarket","id":"714173","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46850.06148900016,"volume_24hr":46850.06148900014,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.65586471557617,"normalized_volume":23.242610931396484,"liquidity":20599.8978,"open_interest":22413.390814,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.845,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.345,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":46848.31835300013,"updated_at":"2026-07-19T01:18:15.064216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T01:18:15.064216Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T16:18:12.705867Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.843136,19.993136,19.993136,22.033951,24.073950999999997,62.033951,112.596451,119.825616,203.624796,5645.995124,8791.356687000001,9059.138996000001,16993.589976000003,23886.934197000002,24430.221867,42127.25353000013,44023.578552000145],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2960258","event_id":"714173","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.845,0.155],"probability":0.845,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-19T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46855.16148900016,"volume_24hr":46855.16148900014,"prob_24h_change":0.345,"volume_24h_change":46848.31835300013,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.939754486083984,"normalized_volume":32.043941497802734,"liquidity":21329.3613,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-19T01:20:42.987572Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-19T01:18:15.348403Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T16:18:12.805063Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-19-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.515,0.515,0.515,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.515,0.625,0.675,0.705,0.755,0.745,0.865,0.845]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/714173","as_of":"2026-07-19T01:26:33.930467Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?\" — top market at 84% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}