{"source":"polymarket","id":"715362","ticker":"will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707","slug":"will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707","title":"Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nLoan deals will qualify. \n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-before-august-31-2026-202607172127269-JA0ki9YTINrD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-before-august-31-2026-202607172127269-JA0ki9YTINrD.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T22:34:22.431849Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1393.72,"volume_24hr":1393.72,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.921838760375977,"normalized_volume":10.658445358276367,"liquidity":4944.2611,"open_interest":610.06,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[{"id":"100350","slug":"soccer","label":"Soccer"},{"id":"1","slug":"sports","label":"Sports"},{"id":"1243","slug":"real-madrid","label":"real madrid"},{"id":"1495","slug":"bayern-munich","label":"bayern munich"},{"id":"105349","slug":"2026-summer-transfer-window","label":"Soccer Transfers"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.225,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.275,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1393.72,"updated_at":"2026-07-18T08:44:28.391014Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T08:44:28.391014Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T22:39:39.262076Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,688.93,1100.1899999999998,1393.72,1393.72,1393.72,1393.72],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2965046","event_id":"715362","slug":"will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707","question":"Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nLoan deals will qualify. \n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-before-august-31-2026-202607172127269-JA0ki9YTINrD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-before-august-31-2026-202607172127269-JA0ki9YTINrD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-17T22:34:22.431849Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1393.72,"volume_24hr":1393.72,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":1393.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.98476791381836,"normalized_volume":14.704334259033203,"liquidity":1806.596,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-18T05:10:15.059345Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T05:09:02.616684Z","added_at":"2026-07-17T22:39:39.666570Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707/will-michael-olise-transfer-to-real-madrid-20260717222856707","event_title":"Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.39,0.21,0.125,0.215,0.235,0.225]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/715362","as_of":"2026-07-18T08:51:28.386923Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?\" — top market at 22% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}