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however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nina-warken-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210490-IjabooX2ovhu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nina-warken-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210490-IjabooX2ovhu.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:09.871723Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":139.81,"volume_24hr":119.81,"prob_24h_change":-0.2445,"volume_24h_change":119.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.885082244873047,"normalized_volume":6.797189712524414,"liquidity":2797.26286,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T21:51:15.453334Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T21:51:15.453334Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-nina-warken-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210490","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.25,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.255,0.25,0.235,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.245,0.325,0.32,0.32,0.265,0.37,0.375,0.36,0.225,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.235,0.29,0.33,0.055,0.0695,0.06,0.0215,0.006,0.0125,0.011,0.015,0.011,0.0105,0.0105,0.0105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978090","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-michael-brand-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210491","question":"Will Michael Brand be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"Michael Brand","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-brand-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-202607182042104-2aGZ46LIsoSz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-michael-brand-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-202607182042104-2aGZ46LIsoSz.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.005,0.995],"probability":0.005,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:13.934750Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":135.44841599999998,"volume_24hr":135.44841599999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.305,"volume_24h_change":135.44841599999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.759746551513672,"normalized_volume":6.711006164550781,"liquidity":12769.60973,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T21:20:47.604994Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T20:48:29.156172Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-michael-brand-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210491","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.315,0.06,0.295,0.235,0.295,0.29,0.32,0.315,0.32,0.33,0.285,0.29,0.375,0.325,0.325,0.37,0.345,0.285,0.28,0.375,0.315,0.375,0.37,0.225,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.155,0.215,0.34,0.0425,0.043,0.042,0.032,0.0105,0.008,0.0085,0.0125,0.013,0.009,0.005,0.005]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978092","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210493","question":"Will someone else be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; 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however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:28.060524Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-1-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210494","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978094","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-2-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210495","question":"Will [Placeholder 2] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 2]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:32.076932Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-2-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210495","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978095","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-3-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210496","question":"Will [Placeholder 3] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 3]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:43.813086Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-3-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210496","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978096","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-4-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210497","question":"Will [Placeholder 4] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 4]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:45.896353Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-4-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210497","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978097","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-5-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210498","question":"Will [Placeholder 5] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 5]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:46.922641Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-5-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210498","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978098","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-6-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210499","question":"Will [Placeholder 6] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 6]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:49.911093Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-6-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210499","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978099","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-7-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210500","question":"Will [Placeholder 7] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 7]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:09:59.324568Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-7-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210500","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978100","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-8-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210501","question":"Will [Placeholder 8] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 8]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:01.289304Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-8-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210501","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978101","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-9-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210502","question":"Will [Placeholder 9] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 9]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:02.313823Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-9-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210502","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978102","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-10-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210503","question":"Will [Placeholder 10] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 10]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:06.572323Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-10-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210503","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978103","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-11-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210504","question":"Will [Placeholder 11] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 11]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:10.690830Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-11-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210504","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978104","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-12-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210505","question":"Will [Placeholder 12] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 12]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:19.796159Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-12-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210505","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978105","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-13-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210506","question":"Will [Placeholder 13] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 13]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:22.037966Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-13-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210506","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978106","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-14-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210507","question":"Will [Placeholder 14] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 14]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:25.049109Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-14-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210507","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978107","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-15-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210508","question":"Will [Placeholder 15] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 15]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:28.124848Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-15-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210508","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978108","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-16-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210509","question":"Will [Placeholder 16] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 16]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:34.003907Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-16-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210509","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978109","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-17-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210510","question":"Will [Placeholder 17] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 17]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:37.115373Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-17-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210510","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978110","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-18-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210511","question":"Will [Placeholder 18] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 18]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:41.435679Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-18-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210511","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978111","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-19-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210512","question":"Will [Placeholder 19] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 19]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:43.483516Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-19-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210512","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978112","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-20-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210513","question":"Will [Placeholder 20] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 20]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:48.611441Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-20-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210513","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978113","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-21-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210514","question":"Will [Placeholder 21] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 21]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:53.935598Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-21-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210514","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978114","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-22-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210515","question":"Will [Placeholder 22] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 22]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:10:55.886024Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-22-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210515","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978115","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-23-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210516","question":"Will [Placeholder 23] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 23]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:11:00.761371Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-23-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210516","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978116","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-24-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210517","question":"Will [Placeholder 24] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 24]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:11:07.089899Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-24-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210517","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978117","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-25-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210518","question":"Will [Placeholder 25] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 25]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:11:11.197572Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-25-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210518","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2978118","event_id":"719096","slug":"will-placeholder-26-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210519","question":"Will [Placeholder 26] be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?","group_item_title":"[Placeholder 26]","description":"On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.\n\nThe resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn. \n\nNominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.\n\nIf the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-18T21:11:13.935203Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:20:40.677974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","added_at":"2026-07-18T21:17:08.562392Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-leader-of-germanys-union-cducsu-20260718204733993/will-placeholder-26-be-the-next-leader-of-the-german-union-cducsu-20260718204210519","event_title":"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/719096","as_of":"2026-07-21T21:51:39.731504Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?\" — top market at 82% probability across 34 outcomes","source_url":null}}