{"source":"polymarket","id":"722853","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-19T20:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99710.17586100004,"volume_24hr":99414.397544,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.63461685180664,"normalized_volume":26.909299850463867,"liquidity":15298.0921,"open_interest":32934.126446,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.935,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.4,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":99017.791673,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T12:30:40.038437Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T12:30:40.038437Z","added_at":"2026-07-19T20:13:44.963425Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026","chart_24h":[295.77831699999996,396.6058709999999,988.158755,7490.341673999999,9868.303992999998,10519.880494999998,14549.843104999996,20024.681377999997,21448.475781999998,21893.434468999996,22644.104124999994,29047.258666999995,29456.464471999996,29872.369544999994,30894.356219999994,31777.225143999993,33576.574603999994,36758.975215,38362.42684,38385.92684,38813.05684,41915.724993,42375.24030700001,52530.422893,54050.94659000001,63423.083304,65883.758519,67069.11221899999,67871.44905399998,72561.99943399997,79912.72276599998,81006.720793,84026.793071,85387.95568399999,87808.27851599999,93272.709246,94260.31156999999,99414.397544],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2993296","event_id":"722853","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.935,0.065],"probability":0.935,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-19T20:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-07-21T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99710.17586100004,"volume_24hr":99414.397544,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":99017.791673,"normalized_vol_24hr":55.65333557128906,"normalized_volume":36.78971862792969,"liquidity":6393.9479,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T12:32:43.069968Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T12:30:40.305597Z","added_at":"2026-07-19T20:13:44.983245Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-21-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?","chart_24h":[0.535,0.47,0.455,0.445,0.415,0.545,0.325,0.355,0.395,0.395,0.315,0.305,0.335,0.405,0.485,0.445,0.365,0.385,0.445,0.455,0.535,0.575,0.48,0.545,0.615,0.685,0.665,0.745,0.815,0.855,0.835,0.865,0.895,0.875,0.875,0.915,0.935]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/722853","as_of":"2026-07-21T12:35:52.827168Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?\" — top market at 94% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}