{"source":"polymarket","id":"723761","ticker":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489","title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBoth the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.\n\nMojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.\n\nIn cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489-wKlke9YEK0xM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489-wKlke9YEK0xM.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T02:25:52.786288Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":85629.54430999998,"volume_24hr":46955.644011000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.80903625488281,"normalized_volume":26.20218276977539,"liquidity":101923.37097,"open_interest":11187.1094,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"August 31","top_outcome_probability":0.052,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":29290.552300000007,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T08:32:55.292697Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T08:32:55.292697Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T02:27:39.741317Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489","chart_24h":[38978.288049,39028.288049,40768.21568000001,42303.93338,42769.193880000006,42769.193880000006,42789.193880000006,43003.35388,43134.60388,44349.90919600001,44630.15919600001,45739.15919600001,45739.15919600001,45755.55263700001,45755.55263700001,47378.712991,47478.712991,47478.712991,47478.712991,48478.712991,48478.712991,48481.814213000005,48481.814213000005,48481.814213000005,48481.814213000005,52141.814213000005,57671.814213000005,72405.794213,75246.639309,74826.13923500001,74706.13923500001,74706.13923500001,69338.16923500001,60636.59123500001,58768.431300000004,56678.674375,56775.909655,48889.644011000004],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2995848","event_id":"723761","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-august-31-20260720003950635","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBoth the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.\n\nMojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.\n\nIn cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.052,0.948],"probability":0.052,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T02:25:55.798788Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51006.181739999985,"volume_24hr":40178.367020000005,"prob_24h_change":0.010499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":29290.552300000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.40118408203125,"normalized_volume":32.62943649291992,"liquidity":42097.70333,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T08:34:21.212293Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T08:32:55.531056Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T02:27:39.767399Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-august-31-20260720003950635","event_title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?","chart_24h":[0.0415,0.0435,0.0745,0.0615,0.062,0.0625,0.0655,0.066,0.065,0.0535,0.052,0.0515,0.0535,0.055,0.0555,0.0505,0.0495,0.05,0.0525,0.0525,0.053,0.053,0.0535,0.054,0.0505,0.0515,0.043,0.0425,0.0425,0.042,0.036,0.0545,0.0535,0.0515]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2995847","event_id":"723761","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-july-31-20260720003505492","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?","group_item_title":"July 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBoth the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.\n\nMojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.\n\nIn cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0135,0.9865],"probability":0.0135,"spread":0.013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T02:25:53.803383Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32492.652307,"volume_24hr":4956.018978,"prob_24h_change":-0.004999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-22672.614351000007,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.53505516052246,"normalized_volume":29.97119903564453,"liquidity":33655.41899,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T08:34:21.212293Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T08:32:55.531056Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T02:27:39.767399Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-july-31-20260720003505492","event_title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?","chart_24h":[0.0185,0.0145,0.027,0.027,0.013,0.019,0.017,0.0135,0.014,0.013,0.0155,0.0115,0.0115,0.0155,0.0175,0.02,0.0195,0.019,0.0195,0.019,0.0135,0.0135,0.0135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2995846","event_id":"723761","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-july-24-20260720003505491","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24?","group_item_title":"July 24","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nBoth the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.\n\nMojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.\n\nIn cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T02:25:52.786288Z","end_date":"2026-07-24T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2130.710263,"volume_24hr":1668.870263,"prob_24h_change":-0.0014999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1207.030263,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.2248592376709,"normalized_volume":16.31403350830078,"liquidity":23239.46385,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T07:43:59.991819Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T07:43:16.180539Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T02:27:39.767399Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489/will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-by-july-24-20260720003505491","event_title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?","chart_24h":[0.012,0.0045,0.0045,0.009,0.012,0.006,0.0065,0.0075,0.006,0.0105,0.0105,0.01,0.01,0.0105,0.0095,0.0105,0.0105,0.01,0.0105,0.01,0.011,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0115,0.0105,0.0115,0.0105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/723761","as_of":"2026-07-21T08:36:50.878308Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?\" — top market at 5% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}