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The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kirill-basin-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930993-4fjnPVfO_e8_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-kirill-basin-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930993-4fjnPVfO_e8_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T22:05:44.611000Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":216.213347,"volume_24hr":186.213347,"prob_24h_change":-0.29,"volume_24h_change":156.213347,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.669448852539062,"normalized_volume":8.04044246673584,"liquidity":10373.01127,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T04:00:38.223029Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T03:58:57.929306Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T22:22:52.964336Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hi-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260717180930991/will-kirill-basin-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930993","event_title":"HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.31,0.325,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.345,0.305,0.325,0.35,0.35,0.335,0.345,0.345,0.32,0.35,0.315,0.365,0.315,0.305,0.35,0.365,0.345,0.305,0.345,0.35,0.305,0.35,0.05,0.29,0.295,0.02,0.094,0.0435,0.0165,0.023,0.0235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3006406","event_id":"726854","slug":"will-greg-guithues-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930994","question":"Will Greg Guithues be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Greg Guithues","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. 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The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-steven-king-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930995-2TOXgImFDGDK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-steven-king-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930995-2TOXgImFDGDK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":0.014,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T22:05:52.410000Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":133.557091,"volume_24hr":94.457091,"prob_24h_change":-0.301,"volume_24h_change":55.357091000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.099212646484375,"normalized_volume":6.672950744628906,"liquidity":9836.13238,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T03:09:54.218706Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T02:17:06.527804Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T22:22:52.964336Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hi-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260717180930991/will-steven-king-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930995","event_title":"HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.31,0.36,0.365,0.37,0.365,0.32,0.375,0.365,0.365,0.33,0.375,0.375,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.375,0.365,0.34,0.19,0.365,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.365,0.375,0.08,0.08,0.365,0.185,0.085,0.0605,0.0555,0.026,0.0085,0.009,0.009]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3006411","event_id":"726854","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930999","question":"Will another candidate be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T22:06:21.393740Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:57:24.024470Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T22:22:52.964336Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T22:22:52.964336Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/hi-02-democratic-primary-winner-20260717180930991/will-another-candidate-be-the-hi-02-democratic-nominee-20260717180930999","event_title":"HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/726854","as_of":"2026-07-23T04:06:18.824841Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"HI-02 Democratic Primary Winner\" — top market at 96% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}