{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73058","as_of":"2026-10-24T10:07:31.595272Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?\" — 7 markets; highest \"December 31\" at 24% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73058","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"73058","ticker":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by","title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.284808° N, 36.938428° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. If all area within the municipality is shaded under a qualifying layer, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of unshaded area along the border of the municipality, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-v5dDpwWb7HfF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-v5dDpwWb7HfF.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-04T20:42:22.668954Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":992807.785624,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.30353546142578,"liquidity":2133.0422,"open_interest":6777.425705999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"},{"id":"102475","slug":"russia-capture","label":"Russia Capture"},{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"102486","slug":"ukraine-map","label":"Ukraine Map"},{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-139.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:09.655972Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T10:00:09.655972Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by","chart_24h":[139.0,139.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,109.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,105.0,90.0,90.0,8.01,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"2107989","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31-464","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.284808° N, 36.938428° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. If all area within the municipality is shaded under a qualifying layer, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of unshaded area along the border of the municipality, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-28T18:15:41.425259Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":70061.00652699999,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":-139.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.52192306518555,"liquidity":1590.279,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:28.765882Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T08:48:28.765882Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31-464","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":[0.265,0.265,0.255,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.265,0.265,0.255,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.24]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1007357","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-march-31","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Vovchanski Khutory\" with a darker grey line.  If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnce Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png \nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-march-31-0yoFPTscDudu.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-march-31-0yoFPTscDudu.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-23T23:02:03.499000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T06:26:21Z","result":"no","volume":221054.67539400002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.43180847167969,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-march-31","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1542467","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Vovchanski Khutory\" with a darker grey line.  If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnce Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png \nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-03-09T20:43:50.295000Z","end_date":"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T06:57:44Z","result":"no","volume":15715.186974999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.39191436767578,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2053609","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-may-31","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?","group_item_title":"May 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Vovchanski Khutory\" with a darker grey line.  If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnce Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png \nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-22T16:25:09.691786Z","end_date":"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T07:29:37Z","result":"no","volume":6637.225907000002,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.723371505737305,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-02T07:33:35.113913Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T01:59:06.304125Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-may-31","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"2107988","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-september-30","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, (50.284808° N, 36.938428° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. If all area within the municipality is shaded under a qualifying layer, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of unshaded area along the border of the municipality, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.\n\nAny continuous shading under the following layers will qualify:\n- Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain\n- Assessed Russian Advances\n\nShading under the following layers will not qualify:\n- Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas\n- Claimed Russian Territory\n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-april-30-zZYgOG-rxBt6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-28T18:56:12.166026Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T06:40:57Z","result":"no","volume":67105.581738,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.24031066894531,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T20:41:37.388420Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T20:41:37.388420Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-september-30","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665226","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-november-30","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Vovchanski Khutory\" with a darker grey line.  If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnce Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png \nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-november-30-gsxifQpioW0R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-november-30-gsxifQpioW0R.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-04T20:35:28.718000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2025-12-01T07:32:40Z","result":"no","volume":135978.148234,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.99227523803711,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-november-30","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665227","event_id":"73058","slug":"will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31","question":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nVovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Vovchanski Khutory\" with a darker grey line.  If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnce Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nVovchansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vovchansk.png \nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pEumzu6kdCPQ2sYt7\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31--O5BWGAwksEK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31--O5BWGAwksEK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-04T20:35:26.770000Z","end_date":"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-01T09:14:41Z","result":"no","volume":476255.960849,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":50.14712905883789,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by/will-russia-capture-all-of-vovchansk-by-december-31","event_title":"Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?","chart_24h":null}]}