{"source":"polymarket","id":"730826","ticker":"which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357","slug":"which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357","title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027-VNNU3Ms1Z60A.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027-VNNU3Ms1Z60A.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:04.252292Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4200.773068,"volume_24hr":4200.773068,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.403654098510742,"normalized_volume":14.13907527923584,"liquidity":56252.07236,"open_interest":2396.864359,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"102886","slug":"president","label":"President"},{"id":"286","slug":"celebrities","label":"Celebrities"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T15:26:35.426806Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T15:26:35.426806Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.571099Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357","chart_24h":[297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,297.21,716.251234,721.251234,721.251234,721.251234,721.251234,747.911234,747.911234,747.911234,747.911234,747.911234,3274.4304410000004,3471.7730680000004,3471.7730680000004,4200.773068,4200.773068],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021674","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-ron-desantis-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657427","question":"Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Ron DeSantis","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:13.632855Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":135.42053699999997,"volume_24hr":135.420537,"prob_24h_change":-0.15499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":78.150537,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.514076232910156,"normalized_volume":6.710448265075684,"liquidity":1521.843,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T12:44:11.756996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:42:17.771980Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-ron-desantis-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657427","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.385,0.24,0.225,0.205,0.185,0.175,0.09,0.05,0.245,0.255,0.25,0.275,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021679","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-ted-cruz-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657432","question":"Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Ted Cruz","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:40.574937Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2937.2137500000003,"volume_24hr":2937.2137500000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.23000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":2910.5537500000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.10723304748535,"normalized_volume":17.708581924438477,"liquidity":1992.7286,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:39:43.806223Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:21.513510Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-ted-cruz-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657432","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.465,0.495,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.44,0.435,0.44,0.455,0.44,0.425,0.385,0.39,0.22,0.235,0.235]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021680","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-rand-paul-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657433","question":"Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Rand Paul","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:45.591805Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":85.87695599999999,"volume_24hr":85.876956,"prob_24h_change":-0.24999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":59.21695600000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.847524166107178,"normalized_volume":5.534999370574951,"liquidity":1435.9027,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T12:44:11.756996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:42:17.771980Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-rand-paul-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657433","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.475,0.44,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.415,0.325,0.23,0.215,0.225,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021672","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-jptdpt-vance-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657425","question":"Will J.D. 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A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:04.252292Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":296.067515,"volume_24hr":296.067515,"prob_24h_change":-0.355,"volume_24h_change":269.407515,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.764892578125,"normalized_volume":9.003307342529297,"liquidity":1767.4945,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T15:27:32.168130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T15:26:35.576052Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-jptdpt-vance-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657425","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.5,0.47,0.455,0.45,0.475,0.47,0.475,0.475,0.47,0.48,0.475,0.045,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.135,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021673","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-marco-rubio-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657426","question":"Will Marco Rubio be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.098,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:09.829426Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":308.891218,"volume_24hr":308.89121800000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":282.231218,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.955083847045898,"normalized_volume":9.137452125549316,"liquidity":1816.65035,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T12:44:11.756996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:42:17.771980Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-marco-rubio-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657426","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.495,0.46,0.465,0.455,0.445,0.465,0.445,0.045,0.0395,0.038,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021678","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-vivek-ramaswamy-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657431","question":"Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0395,0.9605],"probability":0.0395,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:34.411416Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.01272699999998,"volume_24hr":136.012727,"prob_24h_change":-0.4555,"volume_24h_change":109.35272700000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.530850410461426,"normalized_volume":6.7222795486450195,"liquidity":9080.67879,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T15:27:32.168130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T15:26:35.576052Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-vivek-ramaswamy-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657431","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.44,0.435,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.325,0.32,0.025,0.0205,0.0345,0.029,0.0355,0.0245,0.029,0.0205,0.0205,0.036,0.037,0.0385,0.0395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021676","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-donald-trump-jrpt-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657429","question":"Will Donald Trump Jr. be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Jr.","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:25.019511Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.21095,"volume_24hr":59.21095,"prob_24h_change":-0.4405,"volume_24h_change":32.55095,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.6115217208862305,"normalized_volume":4.663224697113037,"liquidity":9982.2238,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:56:49.519802Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:56:21.904872Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-donald-trump-jrpt-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657429","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.495,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.435,0.435,0.43,0.44,0.425,0.365,0.035,0.0345,0.0345,0.034,0.0345,0.0335,0.033,0.0335,0.0345,0.034,0.0335,0.0335,0.034,0.0335,0.0345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021677","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-glenn-youngkin-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657430","question":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.029,0.971],"probability":0.029,"spread":0.042,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:28.112414Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":119.739025,"volume_24hr":119.739025,"prob_24h_change":-0.44599999999999995,"volume_24h_change":93.079025,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.047272682189941,"normalized_volume":6.381203651428223,"liquidity":8605.16284,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:49.651353Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T14:38:21.513510Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-glenn-youngkin-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657430","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.475,0.47,0.425,0.42,0.425,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.42,0.435,0.42,0.025,0.0255,0.026,0.029,0.0295,0.029]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021681","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-marjorie-taylor-greene-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657434","question":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0255,0.9745],"probability":0.0255,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:48.381418Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":58.122499999999995,"volume_24hr":58.1225,"prob_24h_change":-0.4695,"volume_24h_change":31.462500000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.552786827087402,"normalized_volume":4.621798038482666,"liquidity":8905.20482,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T12:44:11.756996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:42:17.771980Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-marjorie-taylor-greene-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657434","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.43,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.415,0.03,0.0295,0.025,0.0255,0.0255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021675","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-donald-trump-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657428","question":"Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0195,0.9805],"probability":0.0195,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:18.851584Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64.21789,"volume_24hr":64.21789,"prob_24h_change":-0.45049999999999996,"volume_24h_change":37.55789,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.871790885925293,"normalized_volume":4.846797466278076,"liquidity":10005.56111,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T12:44:11.756996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T12:42:17.771980Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-donald-trump-be-the-first-listed-republican-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657428","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.47,0.445,0.44,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.045,0.0205,0.02,0.019,0.0195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021682","event_id":"730826","slug":"will-another-republican-be-the-first-listed-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657435","question":"Will another Republican be the first listed to announce a run for President in 2028?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. \n\nThe listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.\n\nAn announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nOnce a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:00:54.356427Z","end_date":"2027-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T23:56:33.264967Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-republicans-will-be-the-first-to-announce-a-run-for-president-20260721225459357/will-another-republican-be-the-first-listed-to-announce-a-run-for-president-in-2028-20260721150657435","event_title":"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/730826","as_of":"2026-07-22T15:31:49.130752Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?\" — top market at 24% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}