{"source":"polymarket","id":"730834","ticker":"michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098","slug":"michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098","title":"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:02:01.715392Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13729.305614000003,"volume_24hr":13579.631998000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.94799041748047,"normalized_volume":18.437179565429688,"liquidity":28206.94048,"open_interest":9109.137594,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"deprec-us-election","label":"deprec USA Election"},{"id":"1550","slug":"senate-primary","label":"Senate Primary"},{"id":"1433","slug":"michigan-primary","label":"Michigan Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"105189","slug":"august-4-primaries","label":"August 4 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Haley Stevens","top_outcome_probability":0.945,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.30499999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12120.395978000004,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T16:14:11.592105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T16:14:11.592105Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.571099Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098","chart_24h":[2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,2.298379,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,1.234563,14.254563,13.02,1018.240475,1297.560475,1297.560475,1297.560475,1297.560475,1297.560475,1297.560475,1297.560475,12207.122528,13139.885684000003,13147.035684000002,13365.025684000002,13579.631998000003,13579.631998000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021691","event_id":"730834","slug":"will-haley-stevens-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909100","question":"Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Haley Stevens","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.945,0.055],"probability":0.945,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:02:04.761594Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12270.240341000002,"volume_24hr":12121.630541000004,"prob_24h_change":0.30499999999999994,"volume_24h_change":12120.395978000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.56909942626953,"normalized_volume":24.615873336791992,"liquidity":18615.989,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:49.751499Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T15:07:31.253938Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098/will-haley-stevens-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909100","event_title":"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner","chart_24h":[0.64,0.655,0.65,0.64,0.655,0.655,0.645,0.64,0.645,0.675,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.685,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.715,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021690","event_id":"730834","slug":"will-abdul-el-sayed-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909099","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Abdul El-Sayed","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:02:01.715392Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1459.0652729999997,"volume_24hr":1458.001457,"prob_24h_change":-0.1595,"volume_24h_change":1456.937641,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.15485191345215,"normalized_volume":14.742795944213867,"liquidity":3626.25392,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:49.751499Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T16:14:11.996215Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098/will-abdul-el-sayed-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909099","event_title":"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner","chart_24h":[0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.185,0.185,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.185,0.185,0.445,0.265,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.045,0.0405,0.04,0.039,0.0365,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3021695","event_id":"730834","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909104","question":"Will another candidate win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner-uPezQW2QcX0-.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:02:28.936986Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T01:52:55.010103Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:24:16.592836Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/michigan-democratic-senate-primary-oakland-county-winner-20260721153909098/will-another-candidate-win-oakland-county-in-the-michigan-senate-democratic-primary-20260721153909104","event_title":"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/730834","as_of":"2026-07-24T16:34:46.490484Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner\" — top market at 94% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}