{"source":"polymarket","id":"730910","ticker":"likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764","slug":"likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764","title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/likud-93d681bbd0.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/likud-93d681bbd0.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:36:48.457839Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5970.427612,"volume_24hr":5970.427612,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.224252700805664,"normalized_volume":15.355451583862305,"liquidity":69257.80771,"open_interest":3755.4588329999997,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"104774","slug":"likud","label":"Likud"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"388","slug":"netanyahu","label":"netanyahu"},{"id":"104743","slug":"main-election","label":"Main Election"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person B","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:21.150974Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:21.150974Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.069400Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,165.176409,609.642093,680.742093,769.254593,2344.964593,2483.174593,2570.174593,2772.503705,3844.3676119999996,3844.3676119999996,3844.3676119999996,4049.277612,5970.427612],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023481","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-amir-ohana-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933765","question":"Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Amir Ohana","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amir-ohana-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933765-K9LZHORSvv1x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amir-ohana-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933765-K9LZHORSvv1x.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:36:48.457839Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2264.528045,"volume_24hr":2264.5280450000005,"prob_24h_change":-0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":2264.5280450000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.85747718811035,"normalized_volume":16.57423973083496,"liquidity":3327.0213,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T09:29:46.496906Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:21.175376Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-amir-ohana-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933765","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.43,0.475,0.445,0.065,0.185,0.28,0.2,0.225,0.235,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023497","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-there-be-no-likud-party-primary-by-the-next-knesset-election-20260721232150796","question":"Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?","group_item_title":"No Primary by Knesset Election","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:29.208464Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":46.145825,"volume_24hr":46.145825,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":46.145825,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.934957027435303,"normalized_volume":4.12312650680542,"liquidity":1386.7993,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T09:29:46.496906Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:21.175376Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-there-be-no-likud-party-primary-by-the-next-knesset-election-20260721232150796","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.45,0.48,0.465,0.475,0.44,0.315,0.265,0.355,0.185,0.195,0.21,0.215,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023488","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-david-amsalem-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933772","question":"Will David Amsalem win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"David Amsalem","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-amsalem-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933772-ETfvsuv068FP.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-amsalem-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933772-ETfvsuv068FP.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:30.089548Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1571.1003,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-david-amsalem-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933772","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.375,0.49,0.465,0.44,0.345,0.21,0.295,0.14,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023491","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-almog-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933775","question":"Will Almog Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Almog Cohen","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-almog-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933775-AExOvH8PXcBm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-almog-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933775-AExOvH8PXcBm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:03.232473Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1675.8492,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-almog-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933775","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.475,0.46,0.47,0.455,0.37,0.305,0.205,0.295,0.14,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023492","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-amichai-chikli-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933776","question":"Will Amichai Chikli win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Amichai Chikli","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amichai-chikli-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933776-ENEvpkX62GxJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amichai-chikli-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933776-ENEvpkX62GxJ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:05.238740Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1567.2502,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-amichai-chikli-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933776","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.445,0.445,0.485,0.445,0.42,0.31,0.265,0.325,0.155,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023486","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-moshe-saada-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933770","question":"Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Moshe Saada","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moshe-saada-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933770-zfqbnq2s8iKe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moshe-saada-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933770-zfqbnq2s8iKe.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:26.002452Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.14285,"volume_24hr":26.14285,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":26.14285,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.355973243713379,"normalized_volume":3.026176691055298,"liquidity":1611.3202,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-moshe-saada-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933770","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.445,0.43,0.465,0.445,0.25,0.175,0.285,0.12,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023490","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-boaz-bismuth-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933774","question":"Will Boaz Bismuth win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Boaz Bismuth","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-boaz-bismuth-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933774-ByHnxZrMFQSt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-boaz-bismuth-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933774-ByHnxZrMFQSt.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:02.268072Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.14285,"volume_24hr":26.14285,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":26.14285,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.355973243713379,"normalized_volume":3.026176691055298,"liquidity":1514.915,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-boaz-bismuth-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933774","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.475,0.38,0.285,0.16,0.285,0.12,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023487","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-eli-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933771","question":"Will Eli Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Eli Cohen","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-eli-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933771-T1wM0iIUC-LL.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-eli-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933771-T1wM0iIUC-LL.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:26.736711Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1309.2372,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-eli-cohen-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933771","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.46,0.47,0.455,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023489","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-miki-zohar-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933773","question":"Will Miki Zohar win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Miki Zohar","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-miki-zohar-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933773-tN-gQrYX9DQI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-miki-zohar-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933773-tN-gQrYX9DQI.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:48.112984Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1249.258,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-miki-zohar-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933773","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.465,0.445,0.295,0.215,0.24,0.14,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023496","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-yoav-kisch-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933780","question":"Will Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Yoav Kisch","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-yoav-kisch-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933780-U4tTa5XSA_Yg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-yoav-kisch-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933780-U4tTa5XSA_Yg.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:17.469009Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.41,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1382.0072,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-yoav-kisch-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933780","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.49,0.365,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.435,0.28,0.215,0.31,0.14,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023483","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-tally-gotliv-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933767","question":"Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Tally Gotliv","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tally-gotliv-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933767-yPL3RN4vruQm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tally-gotliv-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933767-yPL3RN4vruQm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:06.160769Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1500.449249,"volume_24hr":1500.4492489999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":1500.4492489999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.38435935974121,"normalized_volume":14.856118202209473,"liquidity":11198.4841,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T07:53:36.300235Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T07:53:24.504904Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-tally-gotliv-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933767","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.25,0.26,0.27,0.275,0.11,0.075,0.095,0.09,0.14,0.145,0.145,0.07,0.08,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023493","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-david-bitan-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933777","question":"Will David Bitan win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"David Bitan","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-bitan-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933777-XiIwiTSPmQVL.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-bitan-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933777-XiIwiTSPmQVL.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:06.269819Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1390.2463,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-david-bitan-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933777","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.455,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.345,0.23,0.295,0.14,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023495","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-miri-regev-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933779","question":"Will Miri Regev win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Miri Regev","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-miri-regev-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933779-0g7kSoX-L0qZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-miri-regev-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933779-0g7kSoX-L0qZ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:16.486897Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.44,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":1351.819,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-miri-regev-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933779","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.48,0.485,0.43,0.48,0.425,0.25,0.225,0.29,0.15,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023485","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-yariv-levin-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933769","question":"Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Yariv Levin","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-yariv-levin-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933769-dtucdUecwADM.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-yariv-levin-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933769-dtucdUecwADM.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.042,0.958],"probability":0.042,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:11.454313Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":440.21736,"volume_24hr":440.21736,"prob_24h_change":-0.458,"volume_24h_change":440.21736,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.82288932800293,"normalized_volume":10.297740936279297,"liquidity":9620.61146,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:36.856302Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T09:28:21.175376Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-yariv-levin-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933769","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.455,0.46,0.485,0.475,0.415,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.039,0.038,0.041,0.042]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023484","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-israel-katz-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933768","question":"Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Israel Katz","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-katz-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933768-SSyki_nCdGUh.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-katz-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933768-SSyki_nCdGUh.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:37:09.441201Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":346.56143299999997,"volume_24hr":346.56143299999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.455,"volume_24h_change":346.56143299999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.684083938598633,"normalized_volume":9.506591796875,"liquidity":9249.6848,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T05:31:42.670095Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T05:30:48.871084Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-israel-katz-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933768","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.485,0.45,0.39,0.485,0.4,0.125,0.13,0.045,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023494","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-shlomo-karhi-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933778","question":"Will Shlomo Karhi win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Shlomo Karhi","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-shlomo-karhi-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933778-Y1aFxiSOvyOn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-shlomo-karhi-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933778-Y1aFxiSOvyOn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:38:15.521002Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26.1443,"volume_24hr":26.1443,"prob_24h_change":-0.46499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":26.1443,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.356113910675049,"normalized_volume":3.0262746810913086,"liquidity":8295.36562,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:42:02.331336Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-shlomo-karhi-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933778","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.465,0.49,0.47,0.465,0.425,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.155,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023482","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-nir-barkat-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933766","question":"Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Nir Barkat","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nir-barkat-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933766-SDkgMC8CyA-9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nir-barkat-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933766-SDkgMC8CyA-9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:36:55.257371Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1084.9413,"volume_24hr":1084.9413,"prob_24h_change":-0.47,"volume_24h_change":1084.9413,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.5318660736084,"normalized_volume":13.5691556930542,"liquidity":10686.63202,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T08:43:08.420185Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T08:41:44.163685Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-nir-barkat-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933766","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.495,0.465,0.445,0.485,0.495,0.29,0.19,0.195,0.055,0.045,0.045,0.025]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3023523","event_id":"730910","slug":"will-another-person-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933807","question":"Will another person win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.\n\nIf no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to \"No Primary by Knesset Election\". \n\nIf the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-21T23:41:06.373673Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T00:29:41.471467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","added_at":"2026-07-21T23:55:48.155323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/likud-party-primary-winner-20260720203933764/will-another-person-win-the-2026-likud-party-primary-elections-20260720203933807","event_title":"Likud Party Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/730910","as_of":"2026-07-22T09:32:09.716052Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Likud Party Primary Winner\" — top market at 28% probability across 18 outcomes","source_url":null}}