{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73129","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:51:10.093345Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?\" — 6% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73129","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"73129","ticker":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027","slug":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027","title":"U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDonald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. \n\nStatement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-recognize-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-in-2025-mbDmeJtC0LkG.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-recognize-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-in-2025-mbDmeJtC0LkG.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T17:51:17.909000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":77706.597738,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.798824310302734,"liquidity":13922.11442,"open_interest":15177.194273,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"480","slug":"crimea","label":"crimea"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.059,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-15.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:22.867927Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:27:22.867927Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027","chart_24h":[15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,15.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665373","event_id":"73129","slug":"us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027","question":"U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDonald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. \n\nStatement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. \n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-recognize-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-in-2025-mbDmeJtC0LkG.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-recognize-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-in-2025-mbDmeJtC0LkG.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.059,0.941],"probability":0.059,"spread":0.018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T17:51:17.909000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":77706.597738,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-15.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.20314025878906,"liquidity":13045.51478,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russia","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T05:40:38.455019Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T05:40:38.455019Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027","event_title":"U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.059,0.059,0.059,0.059,0.059,0.059,0.059]}]}