{"source":"polymarket","id":"73130","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T17:52:17.414000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38317831.654498644,"volume_24hr":114976.16862099992,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.845008850097656,"normalized_volume":64.41279602050781,"liquidity":342309.2974,"open_interest":5294196.376902,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"104007","slug":"military-strikes","label":"Military Strikes"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.125,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":28483.45942899985,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:51.307138Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T11:51:51.307138Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","chart_24h":[71863.180692,76163.76783599998,75231.37726,81874.32144099998,81042.79000799998,80943.67228699998,82024.07437099998,72035.50528999999,72596.44237999998,72534.67019099998,72501.00599599999,34261.39815100001,33147.15430400001,27885.930016000006,27464.211448000005,27262.098592000006,28626.046396000005,54948.543540000006,62254.199253000006,62137.95899000001,62028.977057000004,81831.03881,81831.03881,82029.851669,117845.86951700003,119326.783737,119277.36541500001,119321.05277899999,118667.27080599999,117192.72303199998,116546.12075199997,113937.82765799994,114847.77554599992,114976.16862099992],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665374","event_id":"73130","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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