{"source":"polymarket","id":"73130","ticker":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025-0Eh3J0ku_Fbj.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T17:52:17.414000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":67063623.263157025,"volume_24hr":248214.755153,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":59.26066970825195,"normalized_volume":73.85175323486328,"liquidity":835834.9307,"open_interest":7282258.555278,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"104007","slug":"military-strikes","label":"Military Strikes"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.155,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":928.9292750000604,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T17:06:54.683617Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T17:06:54.683617Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","chart_24h":[247547.80159000002,224578.617259,333069.673622,301994.196358,320803.063502,333970.1241969999,337261.775374,341771.775668,360032.709198,339225.00348599994,339242.56598599994,346816.72128,344381.16999799997,259514.541584,257034.31158399998,257063.006878,254691.57830999995,244824.38945399996,244804.23088599998,240410.49146500003,240700.33146499997,274926.7910549999,276905.531055,247078.29010600006,246714.1932790001,248346.7909330001,248411.10612100008,248740.36778000006,248213.2153720001,248212.4653720001,248194.6082350001,248149.34058800008],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665374","event_id":"73130","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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