{"source":"polymarket","id":"73147","ticker":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","slug":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","title":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:07:15.890000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":231884.074059,"volume_24hr":2330.333332,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.157123565673828,"normalized_volume":31.000181198120117,"liquidity":31063.2127,"open_interest":59692.503394,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.125,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.035,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2312.263332,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:20:34.808727Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:20:34.808727Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","chart_24h":[18.07,18.07,1981.06,1981.06,1981.06,1981.06,1981.06,1981.89,2058.823332,2053.8233320000004,2053.8233320000004,2053.8233320000004,2047.4133320000003,2047.4133320000003,2047.4133320000003,2106.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2136.993332,2336.993332,2336.993332,2336.993332,2330.333332,2330.333332,2330.333332,2330.333332,2330.333332,2330.333332],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665414","event_id":"73147","slug":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","question":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:07:15.890000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":231884.074059,"volume_24hr":2330.333332,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":2312.263332,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.092470169067383,"normalized_volume":42.38267135620117,"liquidity":30917.4633,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Israel","Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:29:05.357862Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:07:20.156655Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","event_title":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.145,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.125,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125,0.125]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73147","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:26:13.400608Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?\" — top market at 12% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}