{"source":"polymarket","id":"73147","ticker":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","slug":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","title":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:16:50.981312Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":175097.18654300016,"volume_24hr":288.09999999999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.028970718383789,"normalized_volume":31.989652633666992,"liquidity":15732.6994,"open_interest":41814.351744,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"849","slug":"lebanon","label":"Lebanon"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104064","slug":"israel-x-iran","label":"Israel x Iran"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.17,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-559.5525,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:54.209395Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:54.209395Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","chart_24h":[847.6524999999999,847.6524999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,122.44999999999999,142.25,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,172.24,269.85,327.89,327.89,327.89,327.89,297.89,297.89,288.09999999999997,288.09999999999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665414","event_id":"73147","slug":"israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","question":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-in-2025-FaaHLeMMFHjV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:07:15.890000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":175097.18654300016,"volume_24hr":288.09999999999997,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-559.5525,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.34038257598877,"normalized_volume":37.38875198364258,"liquidity":15448.1697,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["Israel","Lebanon"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:32.054084Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:42:19.415875Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027/israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","event_title":"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.165,0.17,0.165,0.165,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73147","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:30:30.069278Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?\" — top market at 17% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}