{"source":"polymarket","id":"73183","ticker":"will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027","slug":"will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027","title":"Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2025-qZGQ0ypt995d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2025-qZGQ0ypt995d.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:17:34.883000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268351.4012519999,"volume_24hr":7244.52294,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.692522048950195,"normalized_volume":32.98561096191406,"liquidity":25413.62091,"open_interest":27524.009248,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"351","slug":"north-korea","label":"North Korea"},{"id":"166","slug":"south-korea","label":"South Korea"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.06,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6810.53294,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T17:29:01.714155Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T17:29:01.714155Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027","chart_24h":[433.99,433.99,383.99,383.99,388.99,444.98,444.98,444.98,444.98,450.98,382.98,382.98,433.97,438.97,438.97,370.97,370.97,421.96000000000004,421.96000000000004,405.96000000000004,405.96000000000004,405.96000000000004,337.96000000000004,337.96000000000004,393.96000000000004,393.96000000000004,7174.40294,7168.40294,7122.40294,7187.40294,7315.51294,7310.51294,7304.51294,7295.51294],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665459","event_id":"73183","slug":"will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027","question":"Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2025-qZGQ0ypt995d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-in-2025-qZGQ0ypt995d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:17:34.883000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":268351.4012519999,"volume_24hr":7244.52294,"prob_24h_change":0.0385,"volume_24h_change":6810.53294,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.59410285949707,"normalized_volume":43.3114128112793,"liquidity":25339.60751,"categories":["World","Politics"],"countries":["North Korea","South Korea"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T17:18:05.213534Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T17:14:35.460806Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027","event_title":"Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0215,0.0695,0.0725,0.074,0.074,0.0605,0.06,0.06,0.06]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73183","as_of":"2026-06-21T17:30:57.324220Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}