{"source":"polymarket","id":"73186","ticker":"obama-arrested-before-2027","slug":"obama-arrested-before-2027","title":"Obama arrested before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-obama-congratulate-zohran-mamdani-by-friday-QKQNFLpCrCoN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-obama-congratulate-zohran-mamdani-by-friday-QKQNFLpCrCoN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:41:16.894000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19254.590716999992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.769351959228516,"liquidity":25780.64847,"open_interest":4441.403036,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100293","slug":"obama","label":"obama"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-610.99,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:15:42.580716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:15:42.580716Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/obama-arrested-before-2027","chart_24h":[610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,610.99,598.99,598.99,598.99,598.99,598.99,598.99,598.99,99.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665465","event_id":"73186","slug":"obama-arrested-before-2027","question":"Obama arrested before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-obama-congratulate-zohran-mamdani-by-friday-QKQNFLpCrCoN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-obama-congratulate-zohran-mamdani-by-friday-QKQNFLpCrCoN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0325,0.9675],"probability":0.0325,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T18:41:16.894000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19254.590716999992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-610.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.028162002563477,"liquidity":25770.66615,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:03:10.565094Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:03:07.299090Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/obama-arrested-before-2027/obama-arrested-before-2027","event_title":"Obama arrested before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73186","as_of":"2026-07-25T17:43:53.598170Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Obama arrested before 2027?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}