{"source":"polymarket","id":"73196","ticker":"will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027","slug":"will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027","title":"Will US withdraw from NATO by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:01:04.889000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5918077.052555002,"volume_24hr":1238.5121909999993,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.728275299072266,"normalized_volume":51.36704635620117,"liquidity":109133.19974,"open_interest":256385.785155,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"101569","slug":"greenland","label":"Greenland"},{"id":"192","slug":"nato","label":"NATO"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.0535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":566.6937170000006,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:46:59.014182Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:46:59.014182Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027","chart_24h":[2548.1675170000003,881.500851,870.9976979999999,871.0032549999999,892.0206749999998,871.0143689999998,860.5112159999996,861.0354829999997,861.0354829999997,840.0291769999997,815.6598709999997,1254.9045049999997,1212.7832149999997,1223.2919249999995,1212.7943289999996,1208.2261759999994,1208.2261759999994,1213.4817329999994,1713.4817329999994,1713.4817329999994,1711.4659999999997,1731.0932669999997,1744.1839769999997,1754.6926869999998,1765.2069539999998,1765.212511,1754.709358,1750.3693580000001,1756.2496250000002,1735.2433190000002,1743.7275860000004,1754.2362960000005,1733.2299900000005,1720.7421910000005],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665480","event_id":"73196","slug":"will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027-348-975-598-224-737","question":"Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:01:04.889000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1187816.7901020166,"volume_24hr":892.7988579999993,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":566.6937170000006,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.582256317138672,"normalized_volume":54.23337173461914,"liquidity":67896.89241,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:46:59.662217Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:46:59.662217Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027-348-975-598-224-737","event_title":"Will US withdraw from NATO by...?","chart_24h":[0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1992954","event_id":"73196","slug":"will-us-withdraw-from-nato-by-june-30","question":"Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.002,0.998],"probability":0.002,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-16T14:46:46.058916Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":493116.7879150001,"volume_24hr":345.713333,"prob_24h_change":0.0005,"volume_24h_change":-1383.6103330000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.514693260192871,"normalized_volume":47.63044357299805,"liquidity":43195.82187,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:49:33.200664Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T10:12:32.725989Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-by-june-30","event_title":"Will US withdraw from NATO by...?","chart_24h":[0.0015,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002,0.002]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1820098","event_id":"73196","slug":"will-us-withdraw-from-nato-by-april-30-583-663","question":"Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.\n\nAny action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.\n\nThe U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\". \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-withdraw-the-us-from-nato-in-2025-an362ZpwM_Zp.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-04-01T20:41:04.050290Z","end_date":"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T06:46:50Z","volume":4237143.474537986,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":64.54362487792969,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027/will-us-withdraw-from-nato-by-april-30-583-663","event_title":"Will US withdraw from NATO by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73196","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:49:53.490220Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will US withdraw from NATO by...?\" — top market at 5% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}