{"source":"polymarket","id":"73201","ticker":"us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027","slug":"us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027","title":"U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nUS military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nUS military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.\n\nHigh ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-in-gaza-before-april-FzfMFDDb0zNZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-in-gaza-before-april-FzfMFDDb0zNZ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:10:34.651311Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51423.838213999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.156814575195312,"liquidity":12835.5511,"open_interest":3637.112433,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"61","slug":"gaza","label":"Gaza"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"409","slug":"palestine","label":"palestine"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.135,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T19:34:44.151668Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T19:34:44.151668Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665485","event_id":"73201","slug":"us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027","question":"U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nUS military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nUS military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.\n\nHigh ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-in-gaza-before-april-FzfMFDDb0zNZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-in-gaza-before-april-FzfMFDDb0zNZ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:08:00.359000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51423.838213999996,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.52531814575195,"liquidity":12863.7489,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Israel","Palestine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T19:21:18.039377Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T19:02:52.665807Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027/us-forces-in-gaza-before-2027","event_title":"U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.125,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.125,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.135]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73201","as_of":"2026-06-16T19:45:45.702920Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}