{"source":"polymarket","id":"73211","ticker":"ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027","slug":"ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027","title":"Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?","description":"If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-joins-nato-in-2025-Z7Kbc9JqzK6S.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-joins-nato-in-2025-Z7Kbc9JqzK6S.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:30:51.060005Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1168782.0211960033,"volume_24hr":1465.960333,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.502933502197266,"normalized_volume":44.567691802978516,"liquidity":18102.97303,"open_interest":8479.765445,"categories":["World","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"96","slug":"ukraine","label":"Ukraine"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101794","slug":"foreign-policy","label":"Foreign Policy"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"270","slug":"putin","label":"putin"},{"id":"192","slug":"nato","label":"NATO"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0605,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.009500000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1205.78517,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:54:38.522296Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:54:38.522296Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027","chart_24h":[260.17516299999994,260.17516299999994,253.175163,253.175163,253.175163,245.69516299999998,256.208313,263.208313,263.208313,253.208313,253.208313,247.950698,242.700698,787.960698,615.31315,592.31315,592.31315,592.31315,592.31315,592.31315,592.31315,592.31315,584.77315,584.77315,584.77315,584.77315,1246.960333,1371.960333,1371.960333,1371.960333,1371.960333,1371.960333,1371.960333,1471.960333,1465.960333],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665495","event_id":"73211","slug":"ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027","question":"Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-joins-nato-in-2025-Z7Kbc9JqzK6S.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-joins-nato-in-2025-Z7Kbc9JqzK6S.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0605,0.9395],"probability":0.0605,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:23:36.879000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1168782.0211960033,"volume_24hr":1465.960333,"prob_24h_change":0.009500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1205.78517,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.782596588134766,"normalized_volume":57.27071762084961,"liquidity":18102.97303,"categories":["World","Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T22:43:22.745436Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T22:26:52.340168Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027","event_title":"Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.051,0.0465,0.0465,0.0465,0.0465,0.0465,0.0465,0.047,0.0575,0.0585,0.0605,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.061,0.0605,0.0605]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73211","as_of":"2026-05-26T23:04:25.318200Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}