{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73223","as_of":"2026-11-03T17:47:45.286439Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?\" — 7 markets; highest \"December 31, 2027\" at 38% as of 2026-11-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73223","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"73223","ticker":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:35:55.838000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3096337.020791,"volume_24hr":5265.53,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.763832092285156,"normalized_volume":50.70355987548828,"liquidity":239589.49815,"open_interest":832346.163655,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100244","slug":"germany","label":"Germany"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-03T17:25:08.840463Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T17:25:08.840463Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","chart_24h":[11906.593442,11906.593442,12051.593442,15581.593442,15301.593442,15295.693442,15294.693442,15294.693442,15294.693442,15294.693442,15319.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15324.693442,15337.703442,15346.97625,15346.25625,15346.25625,15346.25625,15496.25625,15096.25625,15959.15625,15005.03625,5265.53,5265.53],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":7,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665513","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:35:55.838000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2416990.157461,"volume_24hr":5090.53,"prob_24h_change":0.0029999999999999957,"volume_24h_change":-1932.6499999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.270509719848633,"normalized_volume":63.382110595703125,"liquidity":85349.53462,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T16:58:38.215947Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T16:58:38.215947Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":[0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.032,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.035,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5180553","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-november-30-2026","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026","group_item_title":"November 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0145,0.9855],"probability":0.0145,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:22:28Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":47973.520355,"volume_24hr":175.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.002,"volume_24h_change":-4839.72625,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.108134269714355,"normalized_volume":34.08464813232422,"liquidity":42472.39933,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T17:25:09.438715Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T17:25:09.438715Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:46:52.000478Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-november-30-2026","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":[0.0165,0.0135,0.0125,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.0115,0.013,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145,0.0145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5324615","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-december-31-2027","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:12:33Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13704.817992,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.62138557434082,"liquidity":36301.0609,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-02T15:46:34.591058Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-02T15:46:34.591058Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:20:29.955857Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-december-31-2027","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5324613","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-june-30-2027","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:12:33Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8691.798116,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-0.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.137191772460938,"liquidity":42679.7249,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T10:22:22.050815Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T10:22:22.050815Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:20:29.955857Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-june-30-2027","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5324614","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-march-31-2027","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?","group_item_title":"March 31, 2027","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:12:33Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":41123.796237,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-2.247192,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.117252349853516,"liquidity":36149.3736,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-03T09:32:37.549936Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-03T09:32:37.549936Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:20:29.955857Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-march-31-2027","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4597026","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-october-31-2026","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-15T20:35:18Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-01T06:03:50.169351Z","result":"no","volume":175417.59023800003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.77770233154297,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T06:28:19.956640Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T06:28:19.956640Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T20:41:27.979356Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-october-31-2026","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4597027","event_id":"73223","slug":"friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-september-30-2026","question":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026","group_item_title":"September 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-in-2025-uyYzbnJj0tjS.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-15T20:35:19Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-01T06:02:59Z","result":"no","volume":392435.34039200004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.67306137084961,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:03:08.391467Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:03:08.391467Z","added_at":"2026-09-15T20:41:27.979356Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-september-30-2026","event_title":"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?","chart_24h":null}]}