{"source":"polymarket","id":"73226","ticker":"peak-us-national-debt-before-2027","slug":"peak-us-national-debt-before-2027","title":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:41:59.462000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11739.252471000007,"volume_24hr":5.159935,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.382951259613037,"normalized_volume":17.83612823486328,"liquidity":9609.99311,"open_interest":3554.862989,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$40 trillion","top_outcome_probability":0.9545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-339.62006499999995,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:52:23.249164Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:52:23.249164Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027","chart_24h":[344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,344.78,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935,5.159935],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665518","event_id":"73226","slug":"will-the-us-national-debt-hit-40-trillion-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?","group_item_title":"$40 trillion","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-40-trillion-in-2025-w5hzKz-Hh6u1.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-40-trillion-in-2025-w5hzKz-Hh6u1.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9545,0.0455],"probability":0.9545,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:41:59.462000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5819.286935000003,"volume_24hr":5.159935,"prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":-339.62006499999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.5443147420883179,"normalized_volume":20.869970321655273,"liquidity":3635.41813,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:57:29.879222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:52:24.563680Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-40-trillion-before-2027","event_title":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.9515,0.9475,0.95,0.9485,0.9465,0.947,0.946,0.9465,0.946,0.9495,0.9515,0.948,0.9465,0.947,0.9485,0.95,0.946,0.9475,0.954,0.954,0.953,0.954,0.953,0.954,0.9545,0.954,0.9545,0.953,0.9545,0.953,0.9545,0.954,0.953,0.953]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665517","event_id":"73226","slug":"will-the-us-national-debt-hit-39-trillion-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion before 2027?","group_item_title":"$39 trillion","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-39-trillion-in-2025-HBW-IZjn9cdV.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-39-trillion-in-2025-HBW-IZjn9cdV.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:41:59.716000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-20T22:59:13Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-39-trillion-before-2027","event_title":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665519","event_id":"73226","slug":"will-the-us-national-debt-hit-41-trillion-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?","group_item_title":"$41 trillion","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:41:59.970000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":636.5421840000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.58026123046875,"liquidity":535.0438,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:57:29.879222Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T17:34:13.364559Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-41-trillion-before-2027","event_title":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.405,0.405,0.415,0.415,0.385,0.41,0.41,0.405,0.42,0.41,0.405,0.41,0.425,0.42,0.415,0.425,0.395,0.395,0.405,0.395,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665520","event_id":"73226","slug":"will-the-us-national-debt-hit-42-trillion-before-2027","question":"Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?","group_item_title":"$42 trillion","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/peak-us-national-debt-this-year-0WC3047WvVEv.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.038,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:42:00.223000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5283.423352000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.407520294189453,"liquidity":5204.96569,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T17:03:10.565094Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T10:25:56.254697Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/peak-us-national-debt-before-2027/will-the-us-national-debt-hit-42-trillion-before-2027","event_title":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.037,0.037,0.036,0.0375,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.036,0.037,0.036,0.036,0.038,0.0385,0.038,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73226","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:01:55.123176Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Peak US National Debt before 2027?\" — top market at 95% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}