{"source":"polymarket","id":"73330","ticker":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:45:38.548000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":390005.06018800003,"volume_24hr":5871.992819000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.611976623535156,"normalized_volume":37.72529220581055,"liquidity":48234.98796,"open_interest":63636.646114,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"1289","slug":"nuclear","label":"Nuclear"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.1005,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.008500000000000008,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5706.462819,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:47:06.619309Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:47:06.619309Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","chart_24h":[165.53,165.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,145.53,0.0,0.0,409.771073,880.771073,1240.166159,1240.166159,1240.166159,1240.166159,4210.982819,5871.992819,5871.992819,5871.992819,5871.992819,5871.992819000001],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665727","event_id":"73330","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","question":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1005,0.8995],"probability":0.1005,"spread":0.013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:45:38.548000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":390005.06018800003,"volume_24hr":5871.992819000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.008500000000000008,"volume_24h_change":5706.462819,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.64458465576172,"normalized_volume":48.626121520996094,"liquidity":52110.17886,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T20:47:07.560119Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T20:47:07.560119Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","event_title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.111,0.111,0.1105,0.1105,0.1095,0.108,0.1075,0.109,0.1105,0.1105,0.1105,0.113,0.116,0.11,0.108,0.107,0.1105,0.1085,0.1105,0.1085,0.106,0.1055,0.1025]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73330","as_of":"2026-08-26T20:48:35.597425Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}