{"source":"polymarket","id":"73330","ticker":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:45:38.548000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259483.04822999964,"volume_24hr":8566.944799,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.016592025756836,"normalized_volume":31.68387222290039,"liquidity":52172.86185,"open_interest":19227.884697,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"1289","slug":"nuclear","label":"Nuclear"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.1415,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.015999999999999986,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7447.317538000001,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T17:47:37.749704Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T17:47:37.749704Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","chart_24h":[1119.627261,1105.627261,1098.627261,1098.627261,1830.606133,1830.606133,1830.606133,1830.606133,1822.606133,5963.503388,6890.219714,6897.919714,6200.929714,6191.929714,6198.289714,6398.289714,6786.289714,6786.289714,6786.289714,6786.289714,6786.289714,7720.826827,7712.826827,7712.826827,7717.246827,7717.246827,7717.246827,7717.246827,7717.246827,7717.246827,7717.246827,8758.944799,8766.944799,8766.944799],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665727","event_id":"73330","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","question":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1415,0.8585],"probability":0.1415,"spread":0.007,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:45:38.548000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":259483.04822999964,"volume_24hr":8566.944799,"prob_24h_change":0.015999999999999986,"volume_24h_change":7447.317538000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.767770767211914,"normalized_volume":43.5913200378418,"liquidity":50500.733,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T17:36:47.911951Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T17:33:05.905334Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","event_title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.1255,0.1255,0.1255,0.1225,0.1225,0.1225,0.1465,0.144,0.1425,0.1425,0.1425,0.1425,0.1375,0.1305,0.1305,0.1305,0.1305,0.1305,0.1345,0.1345,0.1345,0.1345,0.1345,0.1345,0.1425,0.142,0.1415]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73330","as_of":"2026-07-10T17:58:28.017942Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}