{"source":"polymarket","id":"73330","ticker":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:50:40.883109Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":133197.630032,"volume_24hr":8245.31,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.6418514251709,"normalized_volume":31.808841705322266,"liquidity":13737.82383,"open_interest":8882.07737,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"1289","slug":"nuclear","label":"Nuclear"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.014500000000000013,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7824.999999999999,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:53:40.591011Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:53:40.591011Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","chart_24h":[1118.208318,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,420.31,425.65,417.65,417.65,412.65,393.65,393.65,393.65,382.5,377.5,363.5,355.5,355.5,4475.49,6555.47,8245.31,8245.31,8245.31,8245.31,8245.31,8245.31],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665727","event_id":"73330","slug":"will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","question":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-august-zsPmD4RHKNiN.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0705,0.9295],"probability":0.0705,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:45:38.548000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":133197.630032,"volume_24hr":8245.31,"prob_24h_change":-0.014500000000000013,"volume_24h_change":7824.999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.79114532470703,"normalized_volume":40.84910202026367,"liquidity":13786.55739,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:42:19.611805Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:14:32.634985Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","event_title":"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.0855,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.1175,0.0835,0.0715,0.072,0.0715,0.0715,0.0705,0.0705]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73330","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:03:59.219076Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}