{"source":"polymarket","id":"73331","ticker":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","slug":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","title":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:50:42.248776Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15074.054536000001,"volume_24hr":1.029862,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20336000621318817,"normalized_volume":20.31392478942871,"liquidity":5062.09774,"open_interest":3462.458632,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0535,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:54.209395Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:54.209395Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","chart_24h":[1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,1.029862,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665728","event_id":"73331","slug":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","question":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.049,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:50:37.331000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15074.054536000001,"volume_24hr":1.029862,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20822061598300934,"normalized_volume":23.742435455322266,"liquidity":6401.40897,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:32.054084Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:19:54.737558Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","event_title":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0525,0.0525,0.0535,0.0525,0.0535,0.0535,0.0525,0.0535,0.0535,0.0525,0.0525,0.0535,0.0535,0.0525,0.0535,0.0535,0.0535,0.0525,0.0525,0.0525,0.0525,0.054,0.0525,0.0535,0.0525,0.0535,0.0525,0.054,0.0535]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73331","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:31:55.277745Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US defaults on debt by 2027?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}