{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73331","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:11:20.528673Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US defaults on debt by 2027?\" — 1% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73331","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027"},"source":"polymarket","id":"73331","ticker":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","slug":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","title":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:50:37.331000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19545.986544,"volume_24hr":78.115385,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.896042346954346,"normalized_volume":22.17215347290039,"liquidity":1881.56236,"open_interest":4415.549725,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.009,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":78.115385,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:54:57.051151Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:54:57.051151Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,78.115385,78.115385,78.115385,78.115385,78.115385,78.115385,78.115385],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"665728","event_id":"73331","slug":"us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","question":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-defaults-on-debt-in-2025-ZekJ_StO4dtr.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.009,0.991],"probability":0.009,"spread":0.006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:50:37.331000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":19545.986544,"volume_24hr":78.115385,"prob_24h_change":-0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":78.115385,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.174490928649902,"normalized_volume":28.642621994018555,"liquidity":1676.7024,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:03.997038Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T23:36:03.997038Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027/us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027","event_title":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","chart_24h":[0.0095,0.009,0.009,0.0175,0.009]}]}