{"source":"polymarket","id":"73339","ticker":"foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by","slug":"foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by","title":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nEntering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.  \n\nEgyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. \n\nForeign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.\n\nQualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-05T20:00:51.121291Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":615170.1204409997,"volume_24hr":1615.0952669999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.433334350585938,"normalized_volume":40.50123596191406,"liquidity":3913.2354,"open_interest":12958.238078,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"61","slug":"gaza","label":"Gaza"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.175,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1598.0952669999997,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T00:08:37.490202Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T00:08:37.490202Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by","chart_24h":[17.0,17.0,17.0,17.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1614.0199999999998,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997,1615.0952669999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395239","event_id":"73339","slug":"foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-june-30","question":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nEntering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.  \n\nEgyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. \n\nForeign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.\n\nQualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.175,0.825],"probability":0.175,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-18T23:41:49.915338Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65864.77444199998,"volume_24hr":1615.0952669999997,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":1598.0952669999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.22180938720703,"normalized_volume":36.11869812011719,"liquidity":4017.9849,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-28T00:10:59.309539Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T00:08:37.668010Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-june-30","event_title":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.175,0.17,0.16,0.175,0.155,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1395238","event_id":"73339","slug":"foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-april-30","question":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?","group_item_title":"April 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nEntering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.  \n\nEgyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. \n\nForeign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.\n\nQualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-02-18T23:41:51.983789Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-01T06:43:48Z","volume":184867.37947700004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.150272369384766,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-april-30","event_title":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"665736","event_id":"73339","slug":"foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-march-31","question":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?","group_item_title":"March 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. \n\nEntering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.  \n\nEgyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. \n\nForeign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.\n\nQualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-in-2025-Mtk1b8zv4PJw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-11-05T19:57:57.842000Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-01T08:09:13Z","volume":364437.9665219997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.115272521972656,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:30.159207Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by/foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by-march-31","event_title":"Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/73339","as_of":"2026-05-28T00:21:55.708853Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?\" — top market at 18% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}