{"source":"polymarket","id":"738436","ticker":"which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202","slug":"which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202","title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:38.382826Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2277.0636369999997,"volume_24hr":2277.0636369999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.045164108276367,"normalized_volume":12.140308380126953,"liquidity":4474.9972,"open_interest":408.49571100000003,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"105659","slug":"the-odyssey","label":"The Odyssey"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day","top_outcome_probability":0.64,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2156.0636369999997,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:27:53.600260Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:27:53.600260Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.228286Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,116.867923,116.867923,531.454218,531.454218,531.454218,613.763637,654.913637,654.913637,654.913637,658.363637,1783.213637,2272.0636369999997,2277.0636369999997,2277.0636369999997],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055228","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-spider-man-brand-new-day-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944209","question":"Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"Spider-Man: Brand New Day","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:41.242994Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2156.0636369999997,"volume_24hr":2156.0636369999997,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":2156.0636369999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.706872940063477,"normalized_volume":16.364404678344727,"liquidity":767.2626,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T04:53:30.873962Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T04:52:21.407953Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-spider-man-brand-new-day-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944209","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.445,0.47,0.585,0.485,0.585,0.525,0.67,0.675,0.675,0.675,0.665,0.665,0.335,0.44,0.535,0.64]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055230","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-avengers-doomsday-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944211","question":"Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"Avengers: Doomsday","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:50.275902Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.29000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.508319139480591,"normalized_volume":1.596738338470459,"liquidity":1167.3149,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T00:42:37.681729Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T00:41:45.344734Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-avengers-doomsday-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944211","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.43,0.17,0.165,0.215,0.22,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055229","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944210","question":"Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:45.180311Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.42,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.508319139480591,"normalized_volume":1.596738338470459,"liquidity":651.4383,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:29:26.385645Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:27:53.641503Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-the-hunger-games-sunrise-on-the-reaping-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944210","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.47,0.475,0.07,0.05,0.055,0.04,0.47,0.07,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.385,0.055,0.05,0.055,0.295,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055227","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-toy-story-5-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944207","question":"Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"Toy Story 5","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:38.382826Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.425,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.508319139480591,"normalized_volume":1.596738338470459,"liquidity":553.24,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T01:52:28.597829Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T01:51:32.836070Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-toy-story-5-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944207","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.48,0.055,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055231","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-dune-messiah-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944212","question":"Will Dune: Messiah have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"Dune: Messiah","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.074,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:27:57.175858Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.453,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.508319139480591,"normalized_volume":1.596738338470459,"liquidity":352.3032,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:57:24.350800Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:56:11.934838Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-dune-messiah-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944212","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.46,0.07,0.04,0.055,0.05,0.0425,0.0425,0.0475,0.047]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055232","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944214","question":"Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:28:05.977941Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":81.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.46,"volume_24h_change":81.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.471360206604004,"normalized_volume":5.392673015594482,"liquidity":147.92,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T21:57:29.493572Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T21:56:41.900715Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944214","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.485,0.285,0.28,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3055247","event_id":"738436","slug":"will-another-movie-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944229","question":"Will another movie have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The \"Weekend Box Office Performance\" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T15:29:12.345916Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T16:07:37.533787Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T15:29:36.241885Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-2nd-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944202/will-another-movie-have-the-2nd-best-domestic-opening-weekend-in-2026-20260722231944229","event_title":"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/738436","as_of":"2026-07-24T05:31:17.287088Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?\" — top market at 64% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}