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The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.935,0.065],"probability":0.935,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:36:05.026746Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":963.9093290000001,"volume_24hr":963.9093289999998,"prob_24h_change":0.48500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":963.9093289999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.60122299194336,"normalized_volume":13.114264488220215,"liquidity":4373.5431,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:59:31.112520Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:57:52.061127Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-04-republican-primary-winner-20260722204513152/will-scott-desjarlais-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630199","event_title":"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.75,0.895,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.925,0.925,0.93,0.93,0.935,0.935]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068914","event_id":"739925","slug":"will-tom-davis-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630198","question":"Will Tom Davis be the TN-04 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Tom Davis","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:36:00.356253Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":41.134,"volume_24hr":41.134,"prob_24h_change":-0.41400000000000003,"volume_24h_change":41.134,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.104697227478027,"normalized_volume":3.8861100673675537,"liquidity":2098.89071,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:45.014329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-04-republican-primary-winner-20260722204513152/will-tom-davis-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630198","event_title":"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.115,0.105,0.085,0.09,0.115,0.07,0.06,0.0345,0.0465,0.045,0.038,0.0395,0.04,0.034,0.0365,0.033,0.037,0.036]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068916","event_id":"739925","slug":"will-joshua-james-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630200","question":"Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Joshua James","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.047,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:36:20.502907Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.943333,"volume_24hr":29.943333,"prob_24h_change":-0.4155,"volume_24h_change":29.943333,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.138741970062256,"normalized_volume":3.271204948425293,"liquidity":2638.61289,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:45.014329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-04-republican-primary-winner-20260722204513152/will-joshua-james-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630200","event_title":"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.11,0.02,0.092,0.099,0.094,0.053,0.061,0.034,0.0385,0.0425,0.039,0.0385,0.031,0.0295,0.0245,0.0325,0.0345]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068917","event_id":"739925","slug":"will-harold-rocky-jones-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630201","question":"Will Harold \"Rocky\" Jones be the TN-04 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Harold \"Rocky\" Jones","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0335,0.9665],"probability":0.0335,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:36:21.308006Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.693333,"volume_24hr":29.693333,"prob_24h_change":-0.4165,"volume_24h_change":29.693333,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.114479064941406,"normalized_volume":3.2557599544525146,"liquidity":2887.38874,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:45.014329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-04-republican-primary-winner-20260722204513152/will-harold-rocky-jones-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630201","event_title":"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.11,0.02,0.068,0.1,0.095,0.091,0.055,0.034,0.045,0.0375,0.0335,0.033,0.041,0.0335,0.032,0.0335,0.028,0.0335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068921","event_id":"739925","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630205","question":"Will another candidate be the TN-04 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:36:37.879550Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T19:16:23.708732Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-04-republican-primary-winner-20260722204513152/will-another-candidate-be-the-tn-04-republican-nominee-20260722204630205","event_title":"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/739925","as_of":"2026-07-24T06:26:00.990062Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"TN-04 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 94% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}