{"source":"polymarket","id":"739934","ticker":"tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699","slug":"tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699","title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tennessee-governor-democratic-primary-winner-ubz-X-O1kHs1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tennessee-governor-democratic-primary-winner-ubz-X-O1kHs1.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:05.116210Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":98.419825,"volume_24hr":98.419825,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.864140510559082,"normalized_volume":4.296773433685303,"liquidity":1216.9003,"open_interest":119.919824,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1521","slug":"tennessee","label":"tennessee"},{"id":"24","slug":"deprec-us-election","label":"deprec USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103975","slug":"tennessee-primary","label":"Tennessee Primary"},{"id":"105190","slug":"august-6-primaries","label":"August 6 Primaries"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Johnny Garrett","top_outcome_probability":0.715,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":20.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.142405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.142405Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:02.878397Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699","chart_24h":[0.0,20.0,67.14,67.14,67.14,67.14,67.14,67.14,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825,98.419825],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068936","event_id":"739934","slug":"will-johnny-garrett-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846840","question":"Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Johnny Garrett","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.715,0.285],"probability":0.715,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:06.099534Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.26999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.043530464172363,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":303.1707,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:45.014329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699/will-johnny-garrett-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846840","event_title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.5,0.595,0.595,0.585,0.595,0.605,0.595,0.595,0.71,0.715,0.725,0.73,0.725,0.71,0.71,0.715]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068938","event_id":"739934","slug":"will-van-hilleary-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846842","question":"Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Van Hilleary","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:17.168387Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.23,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.043530464172363,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":328.4873,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699/will-van-hilleary-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846842","event_title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.47,0.345,0.36,0.345,0.36,0.235,0.28,0.235,0.225,0.215,0.21,0.215,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068937","event_id":"739934","slug":"will-jon-henry-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846841","question":"Will Jon Henry be the TN-06 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Jon Henry","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:15.126432Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.145825,"volume_24hr":30.145825,"prob_24h_change":-0.39,"volume_24h_change":30.145825,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.158292293548584,"normalized_volume":3.2836503982543945,"liquidity":246.2192,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:45.014329Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T06:15:05.272985Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699/will-jon-henry-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846841","event_title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.17,0.15,0.155,0.15,0.125,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.055,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068935","event_id":"739934","slug":"will-natisha-brooks-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846839","question":"Will Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Natisha Brooks","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:05.116210Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28.274,"volume_24hr":28.274,"prob_24h_change":-0.4,"volume_24h_change":28.274,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.974017143249512,"normalized_volume":3.1663448810577393,"liquidity":176.2309,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:10:54.688225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:10:16.818245Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699/will-natisha-brooks-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846839","event_title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.445,0.175,0.085,0.08,0.085,0.075,0.075,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3068942","event_id":"739934","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846846","question":"Will another candidate be the TN-06 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T18:37:33.064041Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T19:16:23.708732Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T18:43:03.381284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/tn-06-republican-primary-winner-20260722205730699/will-another-candidate-be-the-tn-06-republican-nominee-20260722205846846","event_title":"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/739934","as_of":"2026-07-24T06:25:14.157563Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"TN-06 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 6% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}