{"source":"polymarket","id":"740342","ticker":"fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386","slug":"fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386","title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fl-19-republican-primary-winner-2ToufkrIf6vW.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fl-19-republican-primary-winner-2ToufkrIf6vW.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:06.800970Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1824.729815,"volume_24hr":1824.729815,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.631574630737305,"normalized_volume":11.455089569091797,"liquidity":8917.62786,"open_interest":959.759815,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"deprec-us-election","label":"deprec USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103939","slug":"florida-primary","label":"Florida Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"105207","slug":"august-18-primaries","label":"August 18 Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Kevin Steele","top_outcome_probability":0.665,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.35000000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":568.330807,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.241121Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.241121Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.286293Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386","chart_24h":[0.0,473.579008,473.579008,473.579008,1134.909815,1134.909815,1134.909815,1134.909815,1134.909815,1134.909815,1559.909815,1751.909815],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069719","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-kevin-steele-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614392","question":"Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Kevin Steele","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.665,0.335],"probability":0.665,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:25.058824Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":568.330807,"volume_24hr":568.330807,"prob_24h_change":0.35000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":568.330807,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.559492111206055,"normalized_volume":11.177968978881836,"liquidity":1149.8702,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-kevin-steele-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614392","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.315,0.695,0.71,0.73,0.46,0.495,0.51,0.625,0.68,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069714","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-mike-beltran-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614387","question":"Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Mike Beltran","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.225,0.775],"probability":0.225,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:06.800970Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":890.1999999999999,"volume_24hr":890.1999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":890.1999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.12752914428711,"normalized_volume":12.812723159790039,"liquidity":4384.1561,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:40:14.970682Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-mike-beltran-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614387","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.57,0.13,0.115,0.49,0.225,0.225,0.225,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069716","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-john-peters-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614389","question":"Will John Peters be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"John Peters","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:15.667582Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.743896007537842,"normalized_volume":4.293009281158447,"liquidity":370.5524,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-john-peters-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614389","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.305,0.29,0.28,0.275,0.275,0.25,0.085,0.08,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069717","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-robert-rocky-rochford-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614390","question":"Will Robert \"Rocky\" Rochford be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Robert \"Rocky\" Rochford","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0745,0.9255],"probability":0.0745,"spread":0.133,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:18.606831Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.23049999999999998,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.372090816497803,"normalized_volume":4.692903518676758,"liquidity":844.28043,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-robert-rocky-rochford-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614390","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.305,0.235,0.195,0.035,0.097,0.1895,0.0335,0.0655,0.0695,0.0915,0.052]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069720","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-ergin-batman-tek-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614393","question":"Will Ergin \"Batman\" Tek be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Ergin \"Batman\" Tek","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:33.785757Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.743896007537842,"normalized_volume":4.293009281158447,"liquidity":575.8882,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-ergin-batman-tek-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614393","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.305,0.32,0.295,0.27,0.275,0.26,0.085,0.08,0.075,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069715","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-michael-marcel-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614388","question":"Will Michael Marcel be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Michael Marcel","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:16.646587Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53.0625,"volume_24hr":53.0625,"prob_24h_change":-0.265,"volume_24h_change":53.0625,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.945425033569336,"normalized_volume":4.421298027038574,"liquidity":695.0608,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-michael-marcel-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614388","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.305,0.295,0.28,0.29,0.275,0.245,0.135,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069721","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-bea-valenti-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614394","question":"Will Bea Valenti be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Bea Valenti","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:35.893943Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":89.136508,"volume_24hr":89.136508,"prob_24h_change":-0.275,"volume_24h_change":89.136508,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.839000701904297,"normalized_volume":5.626704692840576,"liquidity":952.27252,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-bea-valenti-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614394","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.305,0.045,0.24,0.235,0.025,0.231,0.284,0.1675,0.0975,0.083,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069718","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-gavriel-soriano-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614391","question":"Will Gavriel Soriano be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Gavriel Soriano","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:21.916092Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64.0,"volume_24hr":64.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2885,"volume_24h_change":64.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.601649761199951,"normalized_volume":4.839035511016846,"liquidity":1010.09076,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-gavriel-soriano-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614391","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.3,0.295,0.275,0.0075,0.0055,0.0055,0.027,0.008,0.0105,0.008,0.013]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069727","event_id":"740342","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614400","question":"Will another candidate be the FL-14 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:30:59.121864Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T20:20:06.981390Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:36:39.319561Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-14-republican-primary-winner-20260723180614386/will-another-candidate-be-the-fl-14-republican-nominee-20260723180614400","event_title":"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/740342","as_of":"2026-07-24T03:42:13.497695Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 22% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}