{"source":"polymarket","id":"740351","ticker":"fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781","slug":"fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781","title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fl-19-republican-primary-winner-2ToufkrIf6vW.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fl-19-republican-primary-winner-2ToufkrIf6vW.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:32:59.166609Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1776.985437,"volume_24hr":1776.985437,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.46509552001953,"normalized_volume":11.374391555786133,"liquidity":4719.45906,"open_interest":1771.625437,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"24","slug":"deprec-us-election","label":"deprec USA Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103939","slug":"florida-primary","label":"Florida Primary"},{"id":"902","slug":"primary-elections","label":"primary elections"},{"id":"1069","slug":"republican-primary","label":"Republican Primary"},{"id":"105207","slug":"august-18-primaries","label":"August 18 Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Michael Carbonara","top_outcome_probability":0.755,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.33,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1552.507137,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.241121Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.241121Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.026065Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781","chart_24h":[0.0,292.507137,292.507137,292.507137,1772.507137,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437,1776.985437],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069746","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-michael-carbonara-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248784","question":"Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Michael Carbonara","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.755,0.245],"probability":0.755,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:34:27.017698Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1552.507137,"volume_24hr":1552.507137,"prob_24h_change":0.33,"volume_24h_change":1552.507137,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.55551528930664,"normalized_volume":14.99489974975586,"liquidity":1605.5632,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-michael-carbonara-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248784","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.655,0.735,0.82,0.545,0.62,0.615,0.76,0.765,0.765,0.755]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069744","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-casey-askar-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248782","question":"Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Casey Askar","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:33:39.284041Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38.0,"volume_24hr":38.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.375,"volume_24h_change":38.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.8550333976745605,"normalized_volume":3.727179765701294,"liquidity":445.5558,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:59.295467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:39.736588Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-casey-askar-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248782","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.425,0.385,0.345,0.385,0.385,0.275,0.285,0.32,0.145,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069745","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-david-burck-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248783","question":"Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"David Burck","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:33:20.523460Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38.1224,"volume_24hr":38.1224,"prob_24h_change":-0.41000000000000003,"volume_24h_change":38.1224,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.865053653717041,"normalized_volume":3.733558416366577,"liquidity":406.8135,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:59.295467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:39.736588Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-david-burck-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248783","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.325,0.285,0.215,0.315,0.295,0.25,0.105,0.1,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069747","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-richard-evans-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248785","question":"Will Richard Evans be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Richard Evans","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:33:08.083385Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38.1224,"volume_24hr":38.1224,"prob_24h_change":-0.4195,"volume_24h_change":38.1224,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.865053653717041,"normalized_volume":3.733558416366577,"liquidity":603.32046,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:59.295467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:39.736588Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-richard-evans-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248785","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.325,0.32,0.32,0.325,0.225,0.205,0.115,0.11,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069748","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-terri-hasdorff-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248786","question":"Will Terri Hasdorff be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Terri Hasdorff","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:32:59.166609Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.1111,"volume_24hr":51.1111,"prob_24h_change":-0.4195,"volume_24h_change":51.1111,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.818032264709473,"normalized_volume":4.340202808380127,"liquidity":579.17277,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:59.295467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:39.736588Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-terri-hasdorff-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248786","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.345,0.38,0.27,0.115,0.11,0.09,0.095,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069750","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-michael-thompson-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248788","question":"Will Michael Thompson be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Michael Thompson","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:33:26.328047Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59.1224,"volume_24hr":59.1224,"prob_24h_change":-0.4195,"volume_24h_change":59.1224,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.320207118988037,"normalized_volume":4.659875869750977,"liquidity":474.63288,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:59.295467Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:08:39.736588Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-michael-thompson-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248788","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.34,0.335,0.38,0.315,0.215,0.21,0.115,0.11,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069756","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-another-candidate-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248794","question":"Will another candidate be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:34:03.027644Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T20:20:06.981390Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-another-candidate-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248794","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3069749","event_id":"740351","slug":"will-belinda-keiser-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248787","question":"Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?","group_item_title":"Belinda Keiser","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T19:33:09.332522Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":490.0641,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T03:39:06.345072Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T03:38:30.446211Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T19:56:37.240896Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fl-22-republican-primary-winner-20260723181248781/will-belinda-keiser-be-the-fl-22-republican-nominee-20260723181248787","event_title":"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner","chart_24h":[0.45,0.385,0.375,0.405,0.43,0.39,0.335,0.155,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/740351","as_of":"2026-07-24T03:43:39.479792Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"FL-22 Republican Primary Winner\" — top market at 76% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}