{"source":"polymarket","id":"740935","ticker":"highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948","slug":"highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948","title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:48:41.073725Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":836.840488,"volume_24hr":836.840488,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.983678817749023,"normalized_volume":9.2020845413208,"liquidity":2653.6683,"open_interest":590.070485,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"105775","slug":"spacexai","label":"SpaceXAI"},{"id":"105581","slug":"ai-benchmarks","label":"AI Benchmarks"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"45%+","top_outcome_probability":0.62,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":141.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:28:57.096240Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:28:57.096240Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.833964Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,41.9,423.88,423.88,423.88,480.844284,580.844284,836.840488,836.840488],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3072318","event_id":"740935","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-45-or-higher-20260723191456650","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?","group_item_title":"45%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:49:10.478791Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":141.0,"volume_24hr":141.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":141.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.71407413482666,"normalized_volume":6.820333480834961,"liquidity":350.7485,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T04:17:22.111919Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T04:17:22.111919Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.884349Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948/will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-45-or-higher-20260723191456650","event_title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.465,0.47,0.515,0.535,0.55,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3072319","event_id":"740935","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-50-or-higher-20260723191456651","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?","group_item_title":"50%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:49:04.502822Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":478.53620400000005,"volume_24hr":478.536204,"prob_24h_change":-0.11000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":478.536204,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.622238159179688,"normalized_volume":10.581335067749023,"liquidity":659.0322,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:29:26.385645Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:28:57.196918Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.884349Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948/will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-50-or-higher-20260723191456651","event_title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.48,0.455,0.375,0.37]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3072320","event_id":"740935","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-55-or-higher-20260723191456652","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?","group_item_title":"55%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:48:41.073725Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":144.904284,"volume_24hr":144.904284,"prob_24h_change":-0.195,"volume_24h_change":144.904284,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.831673622131348,"normalized_volume":6.8951945304870605,"liquidity":472.685,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T05:10:54.688225Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T05:10:27.900137Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.884349Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948/will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-55-or-higher-20260723191456652","event_title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.435,0.525,0.52,0.27,0.255,0.26,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3072321","event_id":"740935","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-60-or-higher-20260723191456653","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?","group_item_title":"60%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:49:01.655601Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.5,"volume_24hr":51.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.29000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":51.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.8437018394470215,"normalized_volume":4.35654354095459,"liquidity":324.8068,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T04:17:53.513281Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T04:17:22.111919Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.884349Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948/will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-60-or-higher-20260723191456653","event_title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.435,0.43,0.415,0.125,0.12,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3072322","event_id":"740935","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-65-or-higher-20260723191456654","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?","group_item_title":"65%+","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-23T22:48:43.957883Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.9,"volume_24hr":20.9,"prob_24h_change":-0.34,"volume_24h_change":20.9,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.15576696395874,"normalized_volume":2.645465612411499,"liquidity":270.675,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:26:10.372095Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T02:25:55.132033Z","added_at":"2026-07-23T23:10:37.884349Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948/will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-65-or-higher-20260723191456654","event_title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.415,0.11,0.11,0.105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/740935","as_of":"2026-07-24T05:31:10.847273Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?\" — top market at 35% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}