{"source":"polymarket","id":"743552","ticker":"trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","slug":"trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","title":"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.\n\nIf Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/warsh-d8fb8796fd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/warsh-d8fb8796fd.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T16:00:19.484553Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.73638,"volume_24hr":25.74638,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.519513130187988,"normalized_volume":3.5842885971069336,"liquidity":2501.5989,"open_interest":56.13638,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"100478","slug":"fomc","label":"fomc"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"103358","slug":"warsh","label":"Warsh"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"104088","slug":"kevin-warsh","label":"Kevin Warsh"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.0655,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.005500000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-14.243620000000004,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:42:35.966707Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:42:35.966707Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:31.007802Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","chart_24h":[39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,39.99,9.99,9.99,9.99,0.0,16.14638,16.14638,25.74638,25.74638,25.74638,25.74638,25.74638,25.74638],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3081957","event_id":"743552","slug":"trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","question":"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nStatements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.\n\nIf Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/warsh-d8fb8796fd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/warsh-d8fb8796fd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0655,0.9345],"probability":0.0655,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T16:00:19.484553Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.73638,"volume_24hr":25.74638,"prob_24h_change":0.005500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":-14.243620000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.047142028808594,"normalized_volume":4.9003496170043945,"liquidity":2321.34806,"categories":["Politics","Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:09:10.595805Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:08:04.272329Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T16:16:31.196440Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773/trump-tries-to-fire-warsh-in-2026-20260724155002773","event_title":"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.055,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.055,0.06,0.065,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.078,0.073,0.073,0.073,0.068,0.0655]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/743552","as_of":"2026-07-25T23:58:57.299931Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?\" — top market at 7% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}