{"source":"polymarket","id":"744619","ticker":"how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700","slug":"how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700","title":"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to \"0\".\n\nA hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.\n\nThis market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260-o6ofvo5bB9ak.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260-o6ofvo5bB9ak.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T18:39:22.858911Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.9041266441345215,"normalized_volume":1.882728099822998,"liquidity":435.61346,"open_interest":20.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"102023","slug":"hurricane","label":"hurricane"},{"id":"102186","slug":"hurricane-season","label":"Hurricane Season"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"7+","top_outcome_probability":0.56,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:04.242282Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:04.242282Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T18:45:26.177890Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,20.0,20.0,20.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3089117","event_id":"744619","slug":"will-there-be-20260723192532704","question":"Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","group_item_title":"0","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to \"0\".\n\nA hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.\n\nThis market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.487,0.513],"probability":0.487,"spread":0.854,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T18:39:23.844279Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.23199999999999998,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.344411849975586,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":15.42817,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T06:04:42.848052Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T06:04:16.168286Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T18:45:26.311071Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700/will-there-be-20260723192532704","event_title":"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.4995,0.0805,0.495,0.478,0.467,0.482,0.486,0.5,0.2785,0.484,0.487]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3089116","event_id":"744619","slug":"will-there-be-20260723192532703","question":"Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","group_item_title":"7+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to \"0\".\n\nA hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.\n\nThis market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.44],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T18:39:23.164091Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15.9841,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:42.603615Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:04.508588Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T18:45:26.311071Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700/will-there-be-20260723192532703","event_title":"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.58,0.24,0.55,0.545,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.59]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3089115","event_id":"744619","slug":"will-there-be-20260723192532702","question":"Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","group_item_title":"4-6","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to \"0\".\n\nA hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.\n\nThis market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T18:39:22.858911Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":126.0948,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:04.508588Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:28:04.508588Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T18:45:26.311071Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700/will-there-be-20260723192532702","event_title":"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.42,0.525,0.42,0.42,0.425,0.42,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3089114","event_id":"744619","slug":"untitled-market-1-20260723190741897","question":"Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","group_item_title":"1-3","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to \"0\".\n\nA hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.\n\nThis market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T18:39:24.930180Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":256.1334,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:27:08.885041Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T02:27:08.885041Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T18:45:26.311071Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700/untitled-market-1-20260723190741897","event_title":"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.48,0.395,0.4,0.395,0.395,0.395,0.395]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/744619","as_of":"2026-07-25T07:45:04.041905Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?\" — top market at 49% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}