{"source":"polymarket","id":"745230","ticker":"next-kimi-k-model-released-by-20260722183157724","slug":"next-kimi-k-model-released-by-20260722183157724","title":"Next Kimi K model released by…?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nMoonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kimi-k3-released-by-1F1VsyMXhK4q.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T21:56:47.987460Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1232.546835,"volume_24hr":1232.5468350000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.33824348449707,"normalized_volume":10.290165901184082,"liquidity":1063.4094,"open_interest":252.376835,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"104430","slug":"kimi","label":"Kimi"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"104431","slug":"moonshot","label":"Moonshot"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.195,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":298.12,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T08:53:17.592509Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:53:17.592509Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T22:06:48.686015Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-released-by-20260722183157724","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,51.64615,1067.4668350000002,1072.546835,1176.1468350000002,1232.5468350000003,1232.5468350000003,1232.5468350000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3091053","event_id":"745230","slug":"next-kimi-k-model-released-by-december-31-2026-20260722183157726","question":"Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nMoonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.645,0.355],"probability":0.645,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T21:56:47.987460Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":298.12,"volume_24hr":298.12,"prob_24h_change":0.195,"volume_24h_change":298.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.23249626159668,"normalized_volume":9.025094985961914,"liquidity":152.3551,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T08:03:50.214129Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T08:03:16.326757Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T22:06:48.811162Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-released-by-20260722183157724/next-kimi-k-model-released-by-december-31-2026-20260722183157726","event_title":"Next Kimi K model released by…?","chart_24h":[0.45,0.44,0.445,0.455,0.445,0.64,0.7,0.56,0.57,0.645,0.655,0.645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3091052","event_id":"745230","slug":"next-kimi-k-model-released-by-september-30-2026-20260722183157725","question":"Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30, 2026","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nMoonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.\n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T21:56:50.835882Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":934.4268350000001,"volume_24hr":934.4268350000003,"prob_24h_change":0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":934.4268350000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.934724807739258,"normalized_volume":12.996095657348633,"liquidity":429.2299,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:10:57.368291Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T07:09:49.038244Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T22:06:48.811162Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-released-by-20260722183157724/next-kimi-k-model-released-by-september-30-2026-20260722183157725","event_title":"Next Kimi K model released by…?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.365,0.56,0.405,0.41,0.415,0.41]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/745230","as_of":"2026-07-25T08:58:27.651286Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Kimi K model released by…?\" — top market at 41% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}