{"source":"polymarket","id":"753289","ticker":"mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163","slug":"mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163","title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mo-01-democratic-primary-winner-pyEdowo4BXmO.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:02:41.392325Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2827.533888,"volume_24hr":2111.8622210000003,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.109464645385742,"normalized_volume":12.829562187194824,"liquidity":46770.09243,"open_interest":839.162567,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"100929","slug":"missouri","label":"Missouri"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"103927","slug":"house-primary","label":"House Primary"},{"id":"103958","slug":"missouri-primary","label":"Missouri Primary"},{"id":"105189","slug":"august-4-primaries","label":"August 4 Primaries"},{"id":"936","slug":"democratic-primary","label":"Democratic Primary"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-28T08:30:52.694107Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T08:30:52.694107Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.879136Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163","chart_24h":[2354.573888,2354.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2404.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2604.573888,2627.533888,2627.533888,2627.533888,2627.533888,2261.8622210000003,2461.8622210000003,2161.8622210000003,2111.8622210000003,2111.8622210000003],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120662","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-1216-20260724180523172","question":"Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%?","group_item_title":"Bell 12–16%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3395,0.6605],"probability":0.3395,"spread":0.659,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:10:10.833268Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":168.31578000000002,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.314,"volume_24h_change":31.684219999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.440385818481445,"normalized_volume":7.3131914138793945,"liquidity":57.4715,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T08:32:09.814990Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T08:30:52.955323Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-1216-20260724180523172","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0255,0.0255,0.025,0.03,0.03,0.1805,0.127,0.1075,0.3395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120659","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-less-than-4-20260724180523169","question":"Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?","group_item_title":"Bell <4%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.68],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:04:14.007531Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101.92875000000001,"volume_24hr":15.93,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.547450065612793,"normalized_volume":5.963377952575684,"liquidity":625.5264,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T06:56:46.126996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T06:54:50.624539Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-less-than-4-20260724180523169","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.325,0.325,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120658","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-less-than-4-20260724180523168","question":"Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?","group_item_title":"Bush <4%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:03:18.089968Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1856.6099999999997,"volume_24hr":1805.6100000000001,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-28.039999999999964,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.926101684570312,"normalized_volume":15.73339557647705,"liquidity":468.5476,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T06:56:46.126996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T06:54:50.624539Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-less-than-4-20260724180523168","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120661","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-812-20260724180523171","question":"Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?","group_item_title":"Bell 8–12%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1055,0.8945],"probability":0.1055,"spread":0.051,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:04:36.352550Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":166.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0705,"volume_24h_change":70.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.440385818481445,"normalized_volume":7.273992538452148,"liquidity":8805.84413,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T07:57:22.123879Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T07:55:50.193748Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-812-20260724180523171","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.035,0.176,0.161,0.1055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120660","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-48-20260724180523170","question":"Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?","group_item_title":"Bell 4–8%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:05:53.825874Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-20260724180523174","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120655","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-1216-20260724180523165","question":"Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%?","group_item_title":"Bush 12–16%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:02:41.392325Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.692903518676758,"liquidity":102.1495,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T08:15:22.853297Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T08:14:05.407388Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-1216-20260724180523165","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120656","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-812-20260724180523166","question":"Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?","group_item_title":"Bush 8–12%","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:04:41.408987Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-66.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.909551620483398,"liquidity":383.8895,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T06:56:46.126996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T06:54:50.624539Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-812-20260724180523166","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.045,0.045,0.045,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120663","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-at-least-16-20260724180523173","question":"Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?","group_item_title":"Bell 16%+","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:06:12.010955Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0005000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":-60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.692903518676758,"liquidity":602.05461,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T06:56:46.126996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T06:54:50.624539Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-wesley-bell-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-at-least-16-20260724180523173","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0295,0.0295,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3120654","event_id":"753289","slug":"will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-at-least-16-20260724180523164","question":"Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?","group_item_title":"Bush 16%+","description":"The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-26T21:03:11.217981Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":66.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-66.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.909551620483398,"liquidity":515.4145,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-28T06:56:46.126996Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-28T06:54:50.624539Z","added_at":"2026-07-27T16:55:47.989918Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/mo-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260724180523163/will-cori-bush-win-the-mo-01-democratic-primary-by-at-least-16-20260724180523164","event_title":"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0255,0.025,0.025,0.025]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/753289","as_of":"2026-07-28T08:40:42.678280Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory\" — top market at 25% probability across 11 outcomes","source_url":null}}