{"source":"polymarket","id":"766099","ticker":"wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203","slug":"wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203","title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner-fNuGCJUY2lhq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner-fNuGCJUY2lhq.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:21:52.552065Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4068.010736,"volume_24hr":4068.010736,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.48153305053711,"normalized_volume":14.030464172363281,"liquidity":28641.54,"open_interest":319.930383,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"264","slug":"primaries","label":"Primaries"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"103983","slug":"wisconsin-primary","label":"Wisconsin Primary"},{"id":"105192","slug":"august-11-primaries","label":"August 11 Primaries"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hong 30%+","top_outcome_probability":0.595,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.185,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2258.84,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.104780Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.104780Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.682251Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,36.944443,36.944443,36.944443,976.925209,976.925209,1017.961571,1057.961571,1057.961571,2071.084903,2071.084903,4068.010736],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194984","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-at-least-30-20260728183722022","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?","group_item_title":"Hong 30%+","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.595,0.405],"probability":0.595,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:21:52.552065Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2258.84,"volume_24hr":2258.84,"prob_24h_change":0.185,"volume_24h_change":2258.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.446636199951172,"normalized_volume":16.56345558166504,"liquidity":659.7096,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.311836Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-at-least-30-20260728183722022","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.41,0.42,0.375,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.39,0.365,0.365,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194985","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-2530-20260728183722023","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?","group_item_title":"Hong 25–30%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:03.661865Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":194.47619600000002,"volume_24hr":194.476196,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":194.476196,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.940070152282715,"normalized_volume":7.7284159660339355,"liquidity":327.9473,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:54:29.839813Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:51:53.342805Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-2530-20260728183722023","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.43,0.42,0.375,0.43,0.4,0.375,0.425,0.395,0.26,0.415,0.4,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194987","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-1520-20260728183722025","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%?","group_item_title":"Hong 15–20%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:12.886840Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":276.999503,"volume_24hr":276.999503,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":276.999503,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.44951343536377,"normalized_volume":8.794734954833984,"liquidity":7568.5922,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:51:53.342805Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-1520-20260728183722025","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.43,0.42,0.15,0.37,0.305,0.125,0.1,0.095,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194988","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-1015-20260728183722026","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?","group_item_title":"Hong 10–15%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:16.910435Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":183.4101,"volume_24hr":183.4101,"prob_24h_change":-0.383,"volume_24h_change":183.4101,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.699700355529785,"normalized_volume":7.558610916137695,"liquidity":914.82323,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.311836Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-1015-20260728183722026","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.43,0.42,0.16,0.155,0.125,0.135,0.15,0.105,0.095,0.095,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194989","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-510-20260728183722027","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?","group_item_title":"Hong 5–10%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:24.993972Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":183.4101,"volume_24hr":183.4101,"prob_24h_change":-0.373,"volume_24h_change":183.4101,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.699700355529785,"normalized_volume":7.558610916137695,"liquidity":903.67723,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.311836Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-510-20260728183722027","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.16,0.155,0.13,0.135,0.15,0.105,0.135,0.105,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194991","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-david-crowley-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722029","question":"Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?","group_item_title":"Crowley wins","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.047,0.953],"probability":0.047,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:34.932135Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":194.4101,"volume_24hr":194.4101,"prob_24h_change":-0.108,"volume_24h_change":194.4101,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.938667297363281,"normalized_volume":7.7274250984191895,"liquidity":1234.85737,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.311836Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-david-crowley-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722029","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.155,0.06,0.065,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.042]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194992","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-mandela-barnes-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722030","question":"Will Mandela Barnes win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?","group_item_title":"Barnes wins","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.046,0.954],"probability":0.046,"spread":0.088,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:38.554946Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":194.4726,"volume_24hr":194.4726,"prob_24h_change":-0.109,"volume_24h_change":194.4726,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.939993858337402,"normalized_volume":7.728362083435059,"liquidity":1189.05531,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:29:33.311836Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-mandela-barnes-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722030","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.155,0.16,0.065,0.05,0.045,0.045,0.045,0.04,0.0395]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194986","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-2025-20260728183722024","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?","group_item_title":"Hong 20–25%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.031,0.969],"probability":0.031,"spread":0.058,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:06.753424Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":286.098638,"volume_24hr":286.098638,"prob_24h_change":-0.389,"volume_24h_change":286.098638,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.592416763305664,"normalized_volume":8.895686149597168,"liquidity":918.15646,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:10:41.068065Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-2025-20260728183722024","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.42,0.435,0.42,0.4,0.195,0.195,0.025,0.115,0.1605,0.1605,0.031]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194990","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-less-than-5-20260728183722028","question":"Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?","group_item_title":"Hong <5%","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.057,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:22:32.190755Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":295.893499,"volume_24hr":295.893499,"prob_24h_change":-0.39949999999999997,"volume_24h_change":295.893499,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.742137908935547,"normalized_volume":9.00145435333252,"liquidity":10384.0631,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:30:22.499405Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:10:41.068065Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-francesca-hong-win-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-by-less-than-5-20260728183722028","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.43,0.425,0.245,0.24,0.06,0.025,0.09,0.084,0.0625,0.047,0.0455,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3194993","event_id":"766099","slug":"will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722031","question":"Will another outcome occur in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T01:23:01.246519Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:31:54.673281Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T01:39:28.738709Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory-20260727211906203/will-another-outcome-occur-in-the-wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-20260728183722031","event_title":"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/766099","as_of":"2026-07-30T03:32:51.706501Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory\" — top market at 60% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}