{"source":"polymarket","id":"768585","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T16:07:15Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31673.069568,"volume_24hr":31669.648000999998,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.68783950805664,"normalized_volume":21.52033805847168,"liquidity":33083.3456,"open_interest":25029.404395,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.655,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":31650.726433999997,"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:31.262618Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:31.262618Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T16:25:18.065975Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026","chart_24h":[18.921567,18.921567,25.88235,25.88235,25.88235,45.490192,45.490192,113.921552,153.627428,172.313699,177.313699,177.313699,332.80389099999996,332.803891,332.803891,394.907811,670.309857,670.309857,15082.798691999998,21712.54078,21729.85078,21729.85078,22504.109839999997,23369.857833000002,23369.857833000002,24900.451506999994,29515.862151999998],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3203576","event_id":"768585","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.655,0.345],"probability":0.655,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T16:07:15Z","end_date":"2026-07-31T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31673.069568,"volume_24hr":31669.648000999998,"prob_24h_change":0.15500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":31650.726433999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.397178649902344,"normalized_volume":29.422067642211914,"liquidity":33585.9286,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-31T01:28:36.901570Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T01:27:31.447142Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T16:25:18.261297Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-july-31-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.525,0.525,0.525,0.545,0.515,0.595,0.505,0.555,0.545,0.555,0.515,0.615,0.575]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/768585","as_of":"2026-07-31T01:45:29.998629Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?\" — top market at 66% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}