{"source":"polymarket","id":"769205","ticker":"which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321","slug":"which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321","title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-7NO2CCO7a2Mk.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-7NO2CCO7a2Mk.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:41:56.880969Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13801.666519,"volume_24hr":13801.666519,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.890714645385742,"normalized_volume":18.457529067993164,"liquidity":45899.80338,"open_interest":8761.399999000001,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ohio (Special)","top_outcome_probability":0.885,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":498.066519,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:58.968908Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:58.968908Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.246847Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,1580.51,1600.51,5250.586519,5250.586519,13801.666519],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207071","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-ohio-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827327","question":"Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Ohio (Special)","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.885,0.115],"probability":0.885,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:07.540848Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":498.06651899999997,"volume_24hr":498.066519,"prob_24h_change":0.385,"volume_24h_change":498.066519,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.172884941101074,"normalized_volume":10.71863842010498,"liquidity":220.5558,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-ohio-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827327","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.515,0.51,0.805,0.79,0.775]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207068","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-michigan-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827324","question":"Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.795,0.205],"probability":0.795,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:39.295973Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":409.0,"volume_24hr":409.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":409.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.22788143157959,"normalized_volume":10.051055908203125,"liquidity":231.7157,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-michigan-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827324","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.585,0.585,0.585,0.58,0.645,0.78,0.79]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207066","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-texas-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827322","question":"Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Texas","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:06.055938Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":196.17,"volume_24hr":196.17,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":196.17,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.975855827331543,"normalized_volume":7.7537150382995605,"liquidity":263.6795,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:48:31.791438Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:48:02.023965Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-texas-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827322","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.375,0.7,0.7,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207069","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-iowa-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827325","question":"Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:22.214192Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":746.01,"volume_24hr":746.01,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":746.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.20692253112793,"normalized_volume":12.155550956726074,"liquidity":268.4772,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-iowa-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827325","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.365,0.37,0.375,0.37,0.365,0.375,0.72,0.715]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207070","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-alaska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827326","question":"Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.33],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:13.115665Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":353.88,"volume_24hr":353.88,"prob_24h_change":0.17000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":353.88,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.55318546295166,"normalized_volume":9.574427604675293,"liquidity":257.1055,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:49:48.874990Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:48:02.023965Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-alaska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827326","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.415,0.42,0.43,0.74,0.74,0.67]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207067","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-maine-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827323","question":"Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Maine","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:45.597975Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":188.0,"volume_24hr":188.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":188.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.800751686096191,"normalized_volume":7.630015850067139,"liquidity":415.9691,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:48:30.793730Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:19.834901Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-maine-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827323","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.67,0.67,0.645,0.65]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207072","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-new-hampshire-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827328","question":"Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:06.393787Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":781.26,"volume_24hr":781.26,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":781.26,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.447593688964844,"normalized_volume":12.325569152832031,"liquidity":589.2511,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-new-hampshire-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827328","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.265,0.27,0.28,0.275,0.41,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207073","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827329","question":"Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:21.168715Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1689.83,"volume_24hr":1689.83,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1689.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.718368530273438,"normalized_volume":15.342589378356934,"liquidity":710.0069,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827329","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.315,0.3,0.425,0.425]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207079","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-georgia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827335","question":"Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.68],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.52,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:09.127527Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":163.0,"volume_24hr":163.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":163.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.223968505859375,"normalized_volume":7.222556114196777,"liquidity":97.4923,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:52.699458Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:19.834901Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-georgia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827335","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.635,0.64,0.63,0.31,0.31,0.325,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207080","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-minnesota-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827336","question":"Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.68],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:10.157744Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2764.76,"volume_24hr":2764.76,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":2764.76,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.689266204833984,"normalized_volume":17.44133186340332,"liquidity":1818.3857,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:47.521203Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:16.422491Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-minnesota-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827336","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.215,0.21,0.205,0.205,0.3,0.305,0.32]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207077","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-florida-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827333","question":"Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Florida (Special)","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:42.632041Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":972.2099999999999,"volume_24hr":972.21,"prob_24h_change":-0.22499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":972.21,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.610347747802734,"normalized_volume":13.146978378295898,"liquidity":1522.083,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:47.521203Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:16.422491Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-florida-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827333","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.235,0.235,0.23,0.23,0.255,0.265,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207078","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-north-carolina-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827334","question":"Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:58.577235Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1517.01,"volume_24hr":1517.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":1517.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.092864990234375,"normalized_volume":14.900712013244629,"liquidity":697.2427,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:47.521203Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:16.422491Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-north-carolina-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827334","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.465,0.47,0.465,0.465,0.25,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207075","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-new-mexico-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827331","question":"Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"New Mexico","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:41:56.880969Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1144.08,"volume_24hr":1144.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.395,"volume_24h_change":1144.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.5004940032959,"normalized_volume":13.775806427001953,"liquidity":9532.4239,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:47.521203Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:05:16.422491Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-new-mexico-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827331","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.145,0.15,0.155,0.12,0.115,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207074","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-virginia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827330","question":"Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:03.038330Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":856.73,"volume_24hr":856.73,"prob_24h_change":-0.435,"volume_24h_change":856.73,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.93334197998047,"normalized_volume":12.668717384338379,"liquidity":10080.9136,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:25:59.062042Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-virginia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827330","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.165,0.17,0.165,0.195,0.085,0.1,0.07]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207076","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-colorado-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827332","question":"Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Colorado","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:51.195236Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1521.66,"volume_24hr":1521.66,"prob_24h_change":-0.46499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1521.66,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.110483169555664,"normalized_volume":14.913158416748047,"liquidity":9245.0626,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:07:51.924270Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:07:24.091245Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-colorado-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827332","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.435,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.17,0.085,0.085,0.04,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207081","event_id":"769205","slug":"will-the-montana-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827337","question":"Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?","group_item_title":"Montana","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T18:42:25.296281Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7673.0566,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:53.672073Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:53.672073Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T18:52:42.344401Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321/will-the-montana-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827337","event_title":"Which Senate races will be within 5%?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.195,0.19,0.19]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/769205","as_of":"2026-07-30T05:27:35.664418Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which Senate races will be within 5%?\" — top market at 32% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}