{"source":"polymarket","id":"769341","ticker":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520","title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-march-31-cExO-2_n_AdO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-march-31-cExO-2_n_AdO.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:13.885991Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1907.615646,"volume_24hr":1907.615646,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.39871597290039,"normalized_volume":11.590937614440918,"liquidity":447268.1559,"open_interest":590.4851349999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"105491","slug":"seize","label":"seize"},{"id":"69","slug":"strike","label":"strike"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"104039","slug":"trump-iran","label":"U.S. x Iran"},{"id":"104010","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire","label":"Iran Ceasefire"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"August 15","top_outcome_probability":0.4,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.013302Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.013302Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.516419Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,148.6875,148.6875,148.6875,344.554165,344.554165,1119.6718,1159.6718,1261.1718,1261.1718,1261.1718,1907.615646],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207807","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-9-2026-20260729163314529","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 9","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.395,0.605],"probability":0.395,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:43.822414Z","end_date":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":345.961923,"volume_24hr":345.961923,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":345.961923,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.44921875,"normalized_volume":9.500982284545898,"liquidity":7172.8838,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.180736Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-9-2026-20260729163314529","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.165,0.175,0.185,0.18,0.18,0.38]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207802","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-4-2026-20260729163314524","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 4","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:47.886197Z","end_date":"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":352.731923,"volume_24hr":352.731923,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":352.731923,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.538230895996094,"normalized_volume":9.563863754272461,"liquidity":4730.9383,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.180736Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-4-2026-20260729163314524","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.155,0.155,0.16,0.175,0.155,0.15,0.155,0.355]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207821","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-23-2026-20260729163314543","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 23","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:20.774979Z","end_date":"2026-08-23T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":180.481923,"volume_24hr":180.481923,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":180.481923,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.634122848510742,"normalized_volume":7.512302875518799,"liquidity":17399.2866,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:48:30.793730Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:21.176198Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-23-2026-20260729163314543","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.185,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207803","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-5-2026-20260729163314525","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 5","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:25.361655Z","end_date":"2026-08-05T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.0770158767700195,"normalized_volume":4.293009281158447,"liquidity":12828.0639,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:42.105973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:16.127163Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-5-2026-20260729163314525","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.155,0.16,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207804","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-6-2026-20260729163314526","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 6","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:00.905288Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.421077251434326,"normalized_volume":3.829632043838501,"liquidity":11341.2399,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:45:32.826947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:43:48.613589Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-6-2026-20260729163314526","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.155,0.16,0.165,0.185,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207806","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-8-2026-20260729163314528","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 8","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:34.253611Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6436800956726074,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":14252.1253,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.180736Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.180736Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-8-2026-20260729163314528","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.155,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207801","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-3-2026-20260729163314523","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 3","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:28.968996Z","end_date":"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":162.304165,"volume_24hr":162.304165,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":162.304165,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.206927299499512,"normalized_volume":7.210517883300781,"liquidity":11944.7387,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:42.105973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:16.127163Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-3-2026-20260729163314523","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207814","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-16-2026-20260729163314536","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 16","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:18.148452Z","end_date":"2026-08-16T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101.5,"volume_24hr":101.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":101.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.426323890686035,"normalized_volume":5.952639579772949,"liquidity":15585.984,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:42.105973Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T03:11:16.127163Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-16-2026-20260729163314536","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.51,0.16,0.16,0.165,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207822","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-24-2026-20260729163314544","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 24","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:36.795701Z","end_date":"2026-08-24T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":278.56571199999996,"volume_24hr":278.565712,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":278.565712,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.47435188293457,"normalized_volume":8.81230354309082,"liquidity":10100.0968,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:21.176198Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:21.176198Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-24-2026-20260729163314544","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.5,0.16,0.165,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207800","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-2-2026-20260729163314522","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 2","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:04.041212Z","end_date":"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.345,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.643090724945068,"normalized_volume":4.692903518676758,"liquidity":9972.9464,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:04:59.181690Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:04:37.086934Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-2-2026-20260729163314522","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207799","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-1-2026-20260729163314521","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 1","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:40.780272Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6436800956726074,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":7739.9411,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:57.033076Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:39.773950Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-1-2026-20260729163314521","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.155,0.145,0.15,0.155,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207811","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-13-2026-20260729163314533","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 13","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:17.778657Z","end_date":"2026-08-13T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":236.07,"volume_24hr":236.07,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":236.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.754802703857422,"normalized_volume":8.30398941040039,"liquidity":15646.7803,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:48:30.793730Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:21.176198Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-13-2026-20260729163314533","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.185,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207817","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-19-2026-20260729163314539","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 19","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:43.087362Z","end_date":"2026-08-19T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.421077251434326,"normalized_volume":3.829632043838501,"liquidity":15622.8092,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T04:48:30.793730Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T04:46:21.176198Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-19-2026-20260729163314539","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.155,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207829","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-31-2026-20260729163314551","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:13.885991Z","end_date":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.35,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6436800956726074,"normalized_volume":2.574018716812134,"liquidity":18150.29,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:51.174683Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-31-2026-20260729163314551","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.16,0.165,0.18,0.155,0.16,0.155,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207813","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-15-2026-20260729163314535","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 15","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:59.107175Z","end_date":"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7844.9992,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:34.420105Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T05:26:00.180736Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-15-2026-20260729163314535","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.165,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207805","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-7-2026-20260729163314527","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 7","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:52.980822Z","end_date":"2026-08-07T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7628.4077,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T23:43:18.117638Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T23:42:57.048844Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-7-2026-20260729163314527","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.155,0.16,0.165,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207809","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-11-2026-20260729163314531","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 11","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:39.715690Z","end_date":"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7757.9319,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T23:42:57.048844Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T23:42:57.048844Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-11-2026-20260729163314531","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.5,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207816","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-18-2026-20260729163314538","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 18","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:14.192550Z","end_date":"2026-08-18T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7653.8765,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:56.140947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:56.140947Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-18-2026-20260729163314538","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207819","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-21-2026-20260729163314541","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 21","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:30.960816Z","end_date":"2026-08-21T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":10060.2313,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:39.773950Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:39.773950Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-21-2026-20260729163314541","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207820","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-22-2026-20260729163314542","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 22","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:39.083368Z","end_date":"2026-08-22T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7790.562,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T23:02:45.567573Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T23:02:45.567573Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-22-2026-20260729163314542","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.5,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207823","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-25-2026-20260729163314545","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 25","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:56.051269Z","end_date":"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":9307.9288,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:39.773950Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:24:39.773950Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-25-2026-20260729163314545","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207825","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-27-2026-20260729163314547","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 27","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:27.943681Z","end_date":"2026-08-27T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":11598.8818,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:44:09.721035Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:43:48.613589Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-27-2026-20260729163314547","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207827","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-29-2026-20260729163314549","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 29","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:52.004072Z","end_date":"2026-08-29T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.32499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7793.5268,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-29T23:02:45.567573Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-29T23:02:45.567573Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-29-2026-20260729163314549","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207808","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-10-2026-20260729163314530","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 10","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:25.610225Z","end_date":"2026-08-10T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":14843.8961,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-10-2026-20260729163314530","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207810","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-12-2026-20260729163314532","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 12","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:12.949454Z","end_date":"2026-08-12T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":14406.924,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-12-2026-20260729163314532","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207812","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-14-2026-20260729163314534","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 14","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:55.024919Z","end_date":"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15578.1511,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-14-2026-20260729163314534","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207815","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-17-2026-20260729163314537","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 17","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:19.938446Z","end_date":"2026-08-17T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":15774.7769,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T01:40:43.893114Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T01:40:43.893114Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-17-2026-20260729163314537","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.495,0.5,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207818","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-20-2026-20260729163314540","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 20","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:35.568147Z","end_date":"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":7574.1996,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:56.140947Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T00:02:56.140947Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-20-2026-20260729163314540","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.155,0.165,0.165,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207824","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-26-2026-20260729163314546","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 26","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:24.942806Z","end_date":"2026-08-26T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":17222.3105,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-26-2026-20260729163314546","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.51,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207826","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-28-2026-20260729163314548","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 28","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:15:30.686153Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":17703.003,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:32:42.154687Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-28-2026-20260729163314548","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"3207828","event_id":"769341","slug":"iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-30-2026-20260729163314550","question":"Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"August 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.\n","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-29T19:14:38.805957Z","end_date":"2026-08-30T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":18190.0462,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-30T02:52:29.256047Z","added_at":"2026-07-29T19:31:04.653358Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260729163314520/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-august-30-2026-20260729163314550","event_title":"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.16,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/769341","as_of":"2026-07-30T05:27:42.807381Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Iran successfully targets shipping on...?\" — top market at 29% probability across 31 outcomes","source_url":null}}